Recent meteorological forecasts for Istanbul on August 11, 2026, show daytime highs clustered around 28–30°C under predominantly sunny conditions with light northerly winds, aligning with late-summer climatology in the region’s Mediterranean climate where high-pressure systems and declining solar angles moderate peak values after mid-month maxima. Sea-surface temperatures near 24–25°C provide a cooling influence via sea breezes, while low precipitation probability and stable atmospheric profiles limit convective cooling or warming extremes. Model consensus from sources such as AccuWeather and timeanddate supports 28°C as the most probable daily maximum, though microscale urban heat-island effects and minor forecast revisions could shift outcomes toward 27°C or 29°C. Trader-implied probabilities reflect this narrow uncertainty band, with tails below 26°C or above 30°C remaining low absent unexpected synoptic changes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 11?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 11?
28°C 52%
27°C 28%
29°C 12%
26°C 6%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 11, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
6%
27°C
28%
28°C
52%
29°C
12%
30°C
5%
31°C
3%
32°C
4%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 52%
27°C 28%
29°C 12%
26°C 6%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 11, 2026
23°C or below
$12 KL.
<1%
24°C
$12 KL.
<1%
25°C
$44 KL.
2%
26°C
$1 KL.
6%
27°C
$0 KL.
28%
28°C
$257 KL.
52%
29°C
$64 KL.
12%
30°C
$0 KL.
5%
31°C
$8 KL.
3%
32°C
$22 KL.
4%
33°C or higher
$22 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Istanbul on August 11, 2026, show daytime highs clustered around 28–30°C under predominantly sunny conditions with light northerly winds, aligning with late-summer climatology in the region’s Mediterranean climate where high-pressure systems and declining solar angles moderate peak values after mid-month maxima. Sea-surface temperatures near 24–25°C provide a cooling influence via sea breezes, while low precipitation probability and stable atmospheric profiles limit convective cooling or warming extremes. Model consensus from sources such as AccuWeather and timeanddate supports 28°C as the most probable daily maximum, though microscale urban heat-island effects and minor forecast revisions could shift outcomes toward 27°C or 29°C. Trader-implied probabilities reflect this narrow uncertainty band, with tails below 26°C or above 30°C remaining low absent unexpected synoptic changes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 9, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Khối lượng
$442Ngày kết thúc
Aug 11, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 9, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Istanbul on August 11, 2026, show daytime highs clustered around 28–30°C under predominantly sunny conditions with light northerly winds, aligning with late-summer climatology in the region’s Mediterranean climate where high-pressure systems and declining solar angles moderate peak values after mid-month maxima. Sea-surface temperatures near 24–25°C provide a cooling influence via sea breezes, while low precipitation probability and stable atmospheric profiles limit convective cooling or warming extremes. Model consensus from sources such as AccuWeather and timeanddate supports 28°C as the most probable daily maximum, though microscale urban heat-island effects and minor forecast revisions could shift outcomes toward 27°C or 29°C. Trader-implied probabilities reflect this narrow uncertainty band, with tails below 26°C or above 30°C remaining low absent unexpected synoptic changes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$442Ngày kết thúc
Aug 11, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 9, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts for Istanbul on August 11, 2026, show daytime highs clustered around 28–30°C under predominantly sunny conditions with light northerly winds, aligning with late-summer climatology in the region’s Mediterranean climate where high-pressure systems and declining solar angles moderate peak values after mid-month maxima. Sea-surface temperatures near 24–25°C provide a cooling influence via sea breezes, while low precipitation probability and stable atmospheric profiles limit convective cooling or warming extremes. Model consensus from sources such as AccuWeather and timeanddate supports 28°C as the most probable daily maximum, though microscale urban heat-island effects and minor forecast revisions could shift outcomes toward 27°C or 29°C. Trader-implied probabilities reflect this narrow uncertainty band, with tails below 26°C or above 30°C remaining low absent unexpected synoptic changes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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