Current Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a 24°C minimum for Seoul-Incheon on August 11 under clear skies, with traders clustering near 23–25°C because persistent heatwave conditions—daytime highs near 35–39°C and elevated humidity—are suppressing nocturnal radiative cooling. Urban heat-island effects and light steering winds further limit overnight drops below typical late-summer climatology of 22–24°C. Minor forecast spread arises from small differences in boundary-layer mixing and any unmodeled moisture advection, keeping resolution thresholds closely contested until final observational data arrive.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 11?
24°C 35%
25°C 31%
23°C 20%
26°C 7%
18°C or below
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
7%
23°C
28%
24°C
35%
25°C
31%
26°C
7%
27°C
6%
28°C or higher
1%
24°C 35%
25°C 31%
23°C 20%
26°C 7%
18°C or below
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
7%
23°C
28%
24°C
35%
25°C
31%
26°C
7%
27°C
6%
28°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a 24°C minimum for Seoul-Incheon on August 11 under clear skies, with traders clustering near 23–25°C because persistent heatwave conditions—daytime highs near 35–39°C and elevated humidity—are suppressing nocturnal radiative cooling. Urban heat-island effects and light steering winds further limit overnight drops below typical late-summer climatology of 22–24°C. Minor forecast spread arises from small differences in boundary-layer mixing and any unmodeled moisture advection, keeping resolution thresholds closely contested until final observational data arrive.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật



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