Recent National Weather Service model runs highlight persistent marine layer influence and steady onshore flow moderating daytime heating at the official Los Angeles International Airport station, positioning 76–77°F as the leading outcome with 58.5% implied probability. This reflects post-heat-wave relief after earlier August surges pushed inland readings into the 90s, keeping coastal highs near or slightly below the 84–85°F seasonal average. Ensemble consensus emphasizes low-level stratus and sea-breeze timing that limit peak temperatures, though minor variations in marine layer depth or wind patterns could shift odds toward 74–75°F or 78–79°F. Traders monitor the next NWS update for any revisions ahead of the August 12 resolution window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Los Angeles on August 12?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 12?
76-77°F 59%
74-75°F 24%
72-73°F 8%
78-79°F 6%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 12, 2026
67°F or below
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
8%
74-75°F
24%
76-77°F
59%
78-79°F
6%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
1%
76-77°F 59%
74-75°F 24%
72-73°F 8%
78-79°F 6%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 12, 2026
67°F or below
$80 KL.
1%
68-69°F
$5 KL.
1%
70-71°F
$25 KL.
2%
72-73°F
$12 KL.
8%
74-75°F
$463 KL.
24%
76-77°F
$988 KL.
59%
78-79°F
$0 KL.
6%
80-81°F
$5 KL.
3%
82-83°F
$5 KL.
2%
84-85°F
$80 KL.
<1%
86°F or higher
$81 KL.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service model runs highlight persistent marine layer influence and steady onshore flow moderating daytime heating at the official Los Angeles International Airport station, positioning 76–77°F as the leading outcome with 58.5% implied probability. This reflects post-heat-wave relief after earlier August surges pushed inland readings into the 90s, keeping coastal highs near or slightly below the 84–85°F seasonal average. Ensemble consensus emphasizes low-level stratus and sea-breeze timing that limit peak temperatures, though minor variations in marine layer depth or wind patterns could shift odds toward 74–75°F or 78–79°F. Traders monitor the next NWS update for any revisions ahead of the August 12 resolution window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Khối lượng
$1,744Ngày kết thúc
Aug 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service model runs highlight persistent marine layer influence and steady onshore flow moderating daytime heating at the official Los Angeles International Airport station, positioning 76–77°F as the leading outcome with 58.5% implied probability. This reflects post-heat-wave relief after earlier August surges pushed inland readings into the 90s, keeping coastal highs near or slightly below the 84–85°F seasonal average. Ensemble consensus emphasizes low-level stratus and sea-breeze timing that limit peak temperatures, though minor variations in marine layer depth or wind patterns could shift odds toward 74–75°F or 78–79°F. Traders monitor the next NWS update for any revisions ahead of the August 12 resolution window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$1,744Ngày kết thúc
Aug 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service model runs highlight persistent marine layer influence and steady onshore flow moderating daytime heating at the official Los Angeles International Airport station, positioning 76–77°F as the leading outcome with 58.5% implied probability. This reflects post-heat-wave relief after earlier August surges pushed inland readings into the 90s, keeping coastal highs near or slightly below the 84–85°F seasonal average. Ensemble consensus emphasizes low-level stratus and sea-breeze timing that limit peak temperatures, though minor variations in marine layer depth or wind patterns could shift odds toward 74–75°F or 78–79°F. Traders monitor the next NWS update for any revisions ahead of the August 12 resolution window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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