Short-range forecast models from agencies such as the ECMWF and GFS place Warsaw’s August 13 maximum near the late-summer climatological average of 23–25 °C, with output clustering around 24 °C amid moderate northwesterly flow, variable cloud cover, and limited daytime insolation. This narrow spread, combined with typical 1–2 °C ensemble uncertainty arising from boundary-layer moisture and boundary conditions, accounts for the tight market distribution favoring 24 °C (34.5 %) and 25 °C (31.5 %). Recent observations show no strong warm advection or clear-sky amplification that would push values higher, while the seasonal decline from July peaks reinforces the modest outlook. Updated model runs and official station guidance from Warsaw Chopin Airport will be the next key data points ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Warsaw on August 13?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on August 13?
24°C 35%
25°C 32%
23°C 24%
22°C 9%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 13, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
9%
23°C
24%
24°C
35%
25°C
32%
26°C
7%
27°C
2%
28°C
4%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
1%
24°C 35%
25°C 32%
23°C 24%
22°C 9%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 13, 2026
20°C or below
$6 KL.
<1%
21°C
$357 KL.
2%
22°C
$111 KL.
9%
23°C
$86 KL.
24%
24°C
$33 KL.
35%
25°C
$23 KL.
32%
26°C
$7 KL.
7%
27°C
$28 KL.
2%
28°C
$12 KL.
4%
29°C
$6 KL.
1%
30°C or higher
$6 KL.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range forecast models from agencies such as the ECMWF and GFS place Warsaw’s August 13 maximum near the late-summer climatological average of 23–25 °C, with output clustering around 24 °C amid moderate northwesterly flow, variable cloud cover, and limited daytime insolation. This narrow spread, combined with typical 1–2 °C ensemble uncertainty arising from boundary-layer moisture and boundary conditions, accounts for the tight market distribution favoring 24 °C (34.5 %) and 25 °C (31.5 %). Recent observations show no strong warm advection or clear-sky amplification that would push values higher, while the seasonal decline from July peaks reinforces the modest outlook. Updated model runs and official station guidance from Warsaw Chopin Airport will be the next key data points ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Khối lượng
$673Ngày kết thúc
Aug 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range forecast models from agencies such as the ECMWF and GFS place Warsaw’s August 13 maximum near the late-summer climatological average of 23–25 °C, with output clustering around 24 °C amid moderate northwesterly flow, variable cloud cover, and limited daytime insolation. This narrow spread, combined with typical 1–2 °C ensemble uncertainty arising from boundary-layer moisture and boundary conditions, accounts for the tight market distribution favoring 24 °C (34.5 %) and 25 °C (31.5 %). Recent observations show no strong warm advection or clear-sky amplification that would push values higher, while the seasonal decline from July peaks reinforces the modest outlook. Updated model runs and official station guidance from Warsaw Chopin Airport will be the next key data points ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$673Ngày kết thúc
Aug 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-range forecast models from agencies such as the ECMWF and GFS place Warsaw’s August 13 maximum near the late-summer climatological average of 23–25 °C, with output clustering around 24 °C amid moderate northwesterly flow, variable cloud cover, and limited daytime insolation. This narrow spread, combined with typical 1–2 °C ensemble uncertainty arising from boundary-layer moisture and boundary conditions, accounts for the tight market distribution favoring 24 °C (34.5 %) and 25 °C (31.5 %). Recent observations show no strong warm advection or clear-sky amplification that would push values higher, while the seasonal decline from July peaks reinforces the modest outlook. Updated model runs and official station guidance from Warsaw Chopin Airport will be the next key data points ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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