Ongoing heatwave conditions across France, with Paris under a fifth episode of 2026, form the main driver behind trader consensus favoring overnight lows near 20–21°C for August 13. Persistent high pressure and southerly flow limit nocturnal radiative cooling while maintaining elevated boundary-layer temperatures, consistent with ensemble guidance from Météo-France and ECMWF showing minimums in that narrow range. Subtle model differences in cloud cover, wind speed, and urban heat-island retention create the close spread among 19–22°C outcomes; any increase in low-level moisture or a late frontal passage could push the low lower, whereas continued clear skies would favor the warmer side of the distribution. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Paris on August 13?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 13?
21°C 37%
20°C 24%
22°C 15%
19°C 14%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 13, 2026
18°C or below
7%
19°C
14%
20°C
24%
21°C
27%
22°C
15%
23°C
7%
24°C
5%
25°C
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
5%
28°C or higher
1%
21°C 37%
20°C 24%
22°C 15%
19°C 14%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 13, 2026
18°C or below
$0 KL.
7%
19°C
$26 KL.
14%
20°C
$0 KL.
24%
21°C
$5 KL.
27%
22°C
$67 KL.
15%
23°C
$0 KL.
7%
24°C
$286 KL.
5%
25°C
$311 KL.
2%
26°C
$261 KL.
4%
27°C
$12 KL.
5%
28°C or higher
$12 KL.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heatwave conditions across France, with Paris under a fifth episode of 2026, form the main driver behind trader consensus favoring overnight lows near 20–21°C for August 13. Persistent high pressure and southerly flow limit nocturnal radiative cooling while maintaining elevated boundary-layer temperatures, consistent with ensemble guidance from Météo-France and ECMWF showing minimums in that narrow range. Subtle model differences in cloud cover, wind speed, and urban heat-island retention create the close spread among 19–22°C outcomes; any increase in low-level moisture or a late frontal passage could push the low lower, whereas continued clear skies would favor the warmer side of the distribution. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$980Ngày kết thúc
Aug 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heatwave conditions across France, with Paris under a fifth episode of 2026, form the main driver behind trader consensus favoring overnight lows near 20–21°C for August 13. Persistent high pressure and southerly flow limit nocturnal radiative cooling while maintaining elevated boundary-layer temperatures, consistent with ensemble guidance from Météo-France and ECMWF showing minimums in that narrow range. Subtle model differences in cloud cover, wind speed, and urban heat-island retention create the close spread among 19–22°C outcomes; any increase in low-level moisture or a late frontal passage could push the low lower, whereas continued clear skies would favor the warmer side of the distribution. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$980Ngày kết thúc
Aug 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing heatwave conditions across France, with Paris under a fifth episode of 2026, form the main driver behind trader consensus favoring overnight lows near 20–21°C for August 13. Persistent high pressure and southerly flow limit nocturnal radiative cooling while maintaining elevated boundary-layer temperatures, consistent with ensemble guidance from Météo-France and ECMWF showing minimums in that narrow range. Subtle model differences in cloud cover, wind speed, and urban heat-island retention create the close spread among 19–22°C outcomes; any increase in low-level moisture or a late frontal passage could push the low lower, whereas continued clear skies would favor the warmer side of the distribution. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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