Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts indicate London will experience a heatwave on August 13, 2026, with daytime highs reaching 35°C under clear, high-pressure conditions and a daily minimum of 19–21°C. This positions 19°C and 20°C as the leading market outcomes, reflecting trader consensus on limited overnight radiative cooling amid a warm air mass and light winds. Model agreement on stable southerly flow and minimal cloud cover supports these probabilities, though slight variations in urban heat island effects or timing of the low could favor 18°C. The setup deviates from August climatological norms of 13–15°C lows, driven by the current anomalous warmth across southern England. Updated guidance from the Met Office remains the key near-term catalyst before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in London on August 13?
Lowest temperature in London on August 13?
19°C 41%
20°C 32%
18°C 26%
17°C 4%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 13, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
4%
18°C
26%
19°C
41%
20°C
32%
21°C
4%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
19°C 41%
20°C 32%
18°C 26%
17°C 4%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 13, 2026
14°C or below
$267 KL.
<1%
15°C
$247 KL.
<1%
16°C
$128 KL.
<1%
17°C
$685 KL.
4%
18°C
$685 KL.
26%
19°C
$1,311 KL.
41%
20°C
$1,633 KL.
32%
21°C
$417 KL.
4%
22°C
$199 KL.
1%
23°C
$440 KL.
<1%
24°C or higher
$281 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts indicate London will experience a heatwave on August 13, 2026, with daytime highs reaching 35°C under clear, high-pressure conditions and a daily minimum of 19–21°C. This positions 19°C and 20°C as the leading market outcomes, reflecting trader consensus on limited overnight radiative cooling amid a warm air mass and light winds. Model agreement on stable southerly flow and minimal cloud cover supports these probabilities, though slight variations in urban heat island effects or timing of the low could favor 18°C. The setup deviates from August climatological norms of 13–15°C lows, driven by the current anomalous warmth across southern England. Updated guidance from the Met Office remains the key near-term catalyst before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$6,295Ngày kết thúc
Aug 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts indicate London will experience a heatwave on August 13, 2026, with daytime highs reaching 35°C under clear, high-pressure conditions and a daily minimum of 19–21°C. This positions 19°C and 20°C as the leading market outcomes, reflecting trader consensus on limited overnight radiative cooling amid a warm air mass and light winds. Model agreement on stable southerly flow and minimal cloud cover supports these probabilities, though slight variations in urban heat island effects or timing of the low could favor 18°C. The setup deviates from August climatological norms of 13–15°C lows, driven by the current anomalous warmth across southern England. Updated guidance from the Met Office remains the key near-term catalyst before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$6,295Ngày kết thúc
Aug 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts indicate London will experience a heatwave on August 13, 2026, with daytime highs reaching 35°C under clear, high-pressure conditions and a daily minimum of 19–21°C. This positions 19°C and 20°C as the leading market outcomes, reflecting trader consensus on limited overnight radiative cooling amid a warm air mass and light winds. Model agreement on stable southerly flow and minimal cloud cover supports these probabilities, though slight variations in urban heat island effects or timing of the low could favor 18°C. The setup deviates from August climatological norms of 13–15°C lows, driven by the current anomalous warmth across southern England. Updated guidance from the Met Office remains the key near-term catalyst before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp