Forecast models from agencies like the Met Office and BBC indicate peak highs of 34–35°C in Milan on August 14 under persistent high-pressure subsidence, clear skies, and light easterly winds that limit mixing and allow surface heating in the Po Valley. These conditions align with climatological norms for mid-August, where average maxima reach 28–30°C but recent stable anticyclonic patterns have supported warmer anomalies. Trader consensus clusters on 34°C (44.5% implied probability) and 35°C (27%) because ensemble guidance shows limited day-to-day variability and low risk of convective cooling or frontal passages before the weekend. Updated runs through August 12 maintain this narrow range, with only modest upside potential above 36°C if insolation exceeds expectations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Milan on August 14?
Highest temperature in Milan on August 14?
34°C 45%
35°C 24%
33°C 11%
32°C 5%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 14, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
5%
33°C
11%
34°C
45%
35°C
24%
36°C
4%
37°C
4%
38°C
3%
39°C or higher
<1%
34°C 45%
35°C 24%
33°C 11%
32°C 5%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 14, 2026
29°C or below
$76 KL.
<1%
30°C
$8 KL.
1%
31°C
$113 KL.
3%
32°C
$0 KL.
5%
33°C
$5 KL.
11%
34°C
$19 KL.
45%
35°C
$0 KL.
24%
36°C
$0 KL.
4%
37°C
$0 KL.
4%
38°C
$5 KL.
3%
39°C or higher
$12 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the Met Office and BBC indicate peak highs of 34–35°C in Milan on August 14 under persistent high-pressure subsidence, clear skies, and light easterly winds that limit mixing and allow surface heating in the Po Valley. These conditions align with climatological norms for mid-August, where average maxima reach 28–30°C but recent stable anticyclonic patterns have supported warmer anomalies. Trader consensus clusters on 34°C (44.5% implied probability) and 35°C (27%) because ensemble guidance shows limited day-to-day variability and low risk of convective cooling or frontal passages before the weekend. Updated runs through August 12 maintain this narrow range, with only modest upside potential above 36°C if insolation exceeds expectations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Khối lượng
$199Ngày kết thúc
Aug 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the Met Office and BBC indicate peak highs of 34–35°C in Milan on August 14 under persistent high-pressure subsidence, clear skies, and light easterly winds that limit mixing and allow surface heating in the Po Valley. These conditions align with climatological norms for mid-August, where average maxima reach 28–30°C but recent stable anticyclonic patterns have supported warmer anomalies. Trader consensus clusters on 34°C (44.5% implied probability) and 35°C (27%) because ensemble guidance shows limited day-to-day variability and low risk of convective cooling or frontal passages before the weekend. Updated runs through August 12 maintain this narrow range, with only modest upside potential above 36°C if insolation exceeds expectations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$199Ngày kết thúc
Aug 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies like the Met Office and BBC indicate peak highs of 34–35°C in Milan on August 14 under persistent high-pressure subsidence, clear skies, and light easterly winds that limit mixing and allow surface heating in the Po Valley. These conditions align with climatological norms for mid-August, where average maxima reach 28–30°C but recent stable anticyclonic patterns have supported warmer anomalies. Trader consensus clusters on 34°C (44.5% implied probability) and 35°C (27%) because ensemble guidance shows limited day-to-day variability and low risk of convective cooling or frontal passages before the weekend. Updated runs through August 12 maintain this narrow range, with only modest upside potential above 36°C if insolation exceeds expectations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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