Official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration indicate daytime highs of 35–36°C in Taipei on August 12, with apparent temperatures reaching 40–41°C amid high humidity. Persistent summer monsoon flow, urban heat-island effects, and limited cloud cover support these values, while afternoon thundershowers could briefly suppress peaks. The recent passage of Typhoon Dolphin has increased moisture and cloudiness through August 10, potentially moderating temperatures slightly by mid-week, though model consensus still favors a maximum near the upper end of the historical August range (typically 33–34°C). Traders appear to weight the official CWA guidance and climatological baselines most heavily, resulting in the tight clustering around 35–37°C. Updated short-range model runs and any typhoon-related steering changes expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely drive the final shifts in implied probabilities.