**Forecast model ensembles place Amsterdam's August 12 maximum near 26–28 °C, with the market’s tight clustering around 27 °C (38 %) and 28 °C (31.5 %) reflecting genuine spread among runs.** Recent guidance from the Met Office, BBC, and timeanddate converge on 26–27 °C under mostly sunny to broken-cloud conditions, while a few higher-resolution or outlier solutions reach 29–32 °C. The partial solar eclipse, peaking near 20:11 local time with ~88 % obscuration, occurs after the typical afternoon peak and is therefore expected to exert only marginal cooling. Above-normal warmth stems from persistent warm advection and limited cloud cover amid a broader European heat pattern earlier in the month; climatological August highs average 21–22 °C. Traders appear to be weighting the consensus mid-range while discounting low-probability tails, consistent with the modest market-implied odds for 29 °C (13 %) and above. Updated model runs and KNMI guidance ahead of the 12th will be the key near-term catalysts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 12?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 12?
27°C 36%
28°C 32%
29°C 17%
26°C 10%
MỚI
$12,605 KL.
MỚI
$12,605 KL.
Aug 12, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
10%
27°C
36%
28°C
32%
29°C
17%
30°C
4%
31°C
2%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 36%
28°C 32%
29°C 17%
26°C 10%
MỚI
$12,605 KL.
MỚI
$12,605 KL.
Aug 12, 2026
23°C or below
$452 KL.
<1%
24°C
$582 KL.
1%
25°C
$749 KL.
2%
26°C
$1,917 KL.
10%
27°C
$1,132 KL.
36%
28°C
$5,590 KL.
32%
29°C
$1,755 KL.
17%
30°C
$238 KL.
4%
31°C
$104 KL.
2%
32°C
$41 KL.
<1%
33°C or higher
$44 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast model ensembles place Amsterdam's August 12 maximum near 26–28 °C, with the market’s tight clustering around 27 °C (38 %) and 28 °C (31.5 %) reflecting genuine spread among runs.** Recent guidance from the Met Office, BBC, and timeanddate converge on 26–27 °C under mostly sunny to broken-cloud conditions, while a few higher-resolution or outlier solutions reach 29–32 °C. The partial solar eclipse, peaking near 20:11 local time with ~88 % obscuration, occurs after the typical afternoon peak and is therefore expected to exert only marginal cooling. Above-normal warmth stems from persistent warm advection and limited cloud cover amid a broader European heat pattern earlier in the month; climatological August highs average 21–22 °C. Traders appear to be weighting the consensus mid-range while discounting low-probability tails, consistent with the modest market-implied odds for 29 °C (13 %) and above. Updated model runs and KNMI guidance ahead of the 12th will be the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Khối lượng
$12,605Ngày kết thúc
Aug 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast model ensembles place Amsterdam's August 12 maximum near 26–28 °C, with the market’s tight clustering around 27 °C (38 %) and 28 °C (31.5 %) reflecting genuine spread among runs.** Recent guidance from the Met Office, BBC, and timeanddate converge on 26–27 °C under mostly sunny to broken-cloud conditions, while a few higher-resolution or outlier solutions reach 29–32 °C. The partial solar eclipse, peaking near 20:11 local time with ~88 % obscuration, occurs after the typical afternoon peak and is therefore expected to exert only marginal cooling. Above-normal warmth stems from persistent warm advection and limited cloud cover amid a broader European heat pattern earlier in the month; climatological August highs average 21–22 °C. Traders appear to be weighting the consensus mid-range while discounting low-probability tails, consistent with the modest market-implied odds for 29 °C (13 %) and above. Updated model runs and KNMI guidance ahead of the 12th will be the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$12,605Ngày kết thúc
Aug 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast model ensembles place Amsterdam's August 12 maximum near 26–28 °C, with the market’s tight clustering around 27 °C (38 %) and 28 °C (31.5 %) reflecting genuine spread among runs.** Recent guidance from the Met Office, BBC, and timeanddate converge on 26–27 °C under mostly sunny to broken-cloud conditions, while a few higher-resolution or outlier solutions reach 29–32 °C. The partial solar eclipse, peaking near 20:11 local time with ~88 % obscuration, occurs after the typical afternoon peak and is therefore expected to exert only marginal cooling. Above-normal warmth stems from persistent warm advection and limited cloud cover amid a broader European heat pattern earlier in the month; climatological August highs average 21–22 °C. Traders appear to be weighting the consensus mid-range while discounting low-probability tails, consistent with the modest market-implied odds for 29 °C (13 %) and above. Updated model runs and KNMI guidance ahead of the 12th will be the key near-term catalysts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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