**Trader sentiment for Istanbul's peak temperature on August 12 heavily favors 28°C (56.5% implied probability) because ensemble forecasts from major models place the daytime maximum near or slightly below the long-term August average of 27–29°C.** Typical Mediterranean summer conditions—high pressure, light northerly winds, and Black Sea/Marmara moderation—limit extreme heat, while daytime solar heating and low cloud cover support readings in the upper 20s Celsius. Recent model runs show limited variability, with 29°C (23.5%) as the main alternative under slightly stronger insolation or reduced marine influence. Lower probabilities for 30°C+ reflect the absence of heatwave signals or southerly flow in the latest guidance, whereas cooler outcomes remain possible only if unexpected cloud cover or stronger sea breezes develop. Official monitoring from Turkish meteorological sources and global numerical weather prediction centers will provide key updates over the next 48 hours as the date approaches.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 12?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 12?
28°C 56%
29°C 24%
27°C 16%
30°C 4%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 12, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
3%
27°C
16%
28°C
56%
29°C
24%
30°C
4%
31°C
2%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 56%
29°C 24%
27°C 16%
30°C 4%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 12, 2026
23°C or below
$71 KL.
<1%
24°C
$28 KL.
<1%
25°C
$130 KL.
2%
26°C
$15 KL.
3%
27°C
$5 KL.
16%
28°C
$369 KL.
56%
29°C
$37 KL.
24%
30°C
$0 KL.
4%
31°C
$8 KL.
2%
32°C
$12 KL.
2%
33°C or higher
$657 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Istanbul's peak temperature on August 12 heavily favors 28°C (56.5% implied probability) because ensemble forecasts from major models place the daytime maximum near or slightly below the long-term August average of 27–29°C.** Typical Mediterranean summer conditions—high pressure, light northerly winds, and Black Sea/Marmara moderation—limit extreme heat, while daytime solar heating and low cloud cover support readings in the upper 20s Celsius. Recent model runs show limited variability, with 29°C (23.5%) as the main alternative under slightly stronger insolation or reduced marine influence. Lower probabilities for 30°C+ reflect the absence of heatwave signals or southerly flow in the latest guidance, whereas cooler outcomes remain possible only if unexpected cloud cover or stronger sea breezes develop. Official monitoring from Turkish meteorological sources and global numerical weather prediction centers will provide key updates over the next 48 hours as the date approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Khối lượng
$1,333Ngày kết thúc
Aug 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Istanbul's peak temperature on August 12 heavily favors 28°C (56.5% implied probability) because ensemble forecasts from major models place the daytime maximum near or slightly below the long-term August average of 27–29°C.** Typical Mediterranean summer conditions—high pressure, light northerly winds, and Black Sea/Marmara moderation—limit extreme heat, while daytime solar heating and low cloud cover support readings in the upper 20s Celsius. Recent model runs show limited variability, with 29°C (23.5%) as the main alternative under slightly stronger insolation or reduced marine influence. Lower probabilities for 30°C+ reflect the absence of heatwave signals or southerly flow in the latest guidance, whereas cooler outcomes remain possible only if unexpected cloud cover or stronger sea breezes develop. Official monitoring from Turkish meteorological sources and global numerical weather prediction centers will provide key updates over the next 48 hours as the date approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$1,333Ngày kết thúc
Aug 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Istanbul's peak temperature on August 12 heavily favors 28°C (56.5% implied probability) because ensemble forecasts from major models place the daytime maximum near or slightly below the long-term August average of 27–29°C.** Typical Mediterranean summer conditions—high pressure, light northerly winds, and Black Sea/Marmara moderation—limit extreme heat, while daytime solar heating and low cloud cover support readings in the upper 20s Celsius. Recent model runs show limited variability, with 29°C (23.5%) as the main alternative under slightly stronger insolation or reduced marine influence. Lower probabilities for 30°C+ reflect the absence of heatwave signals or southerly flow in the latest guidance, whereas cooler outcomes remain possible only if unexpected cloud cover or stronger sea breezes develop. Official monitoring from Turkish meteorological sources and global numerical weather prediction centers will provide key updates over the next 48 hours as the date approaches.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp