Recent forecasts for Moscow indicate a cooling trend into mid-August, with highs likely near 17–18°C on the 12th amid a shift toward more unsettled conditions. Ensemble model guidance shows modest spread driven by the precise timing and strength of a passing frontal boundary, variable cloud cover that limits daytime heating, and light precipitation chances that can suppress maximum temperatures by 1–2°C. Historical climatology places late-summer Moscow maxima near 22°C, but recent upstream observations suggest cooler maritime air advection is already underway. Traders therefore cluster around the 17–18°C outcomes because small differences in boundary-layer moisture or wind direction can readily tip the daily high between these thresholds, while probabilities for 16°C or 19°C reflect residual model disagreement ahead of the next update cycle.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Moscow on August 12?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 12?
17°C 35%
18°C 33%
16°C 20%
19°C 15%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 12, 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
7%
14°C
7%
15°C
6%
16°C
20%
17°C
35%
18°C
33%
19°C
15%
20°C
4%
21°C
5%
22°C or higher
3%
17°C 35%
18°C 33%
16°C 20%
19°C 15%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 12, 2026
12°C or below
$13 KL.
<1%
13°C
$12 KL.
7%
14°C
$12 KL.
7%
15°C
$15 KL.
6%
16°C
$187 KL.
20%
17°C
$35 KL.
35%
18°C
$18 KL.
33%
19°C
$8 KL.
15%
20°C
$17 KL.
4%
21°C
$39 KL.
5%
22°C or higher
$17 KL.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Moscow indicate a cooling trend into mid-August, with highs likely near 17–18°C on the 12th amid a shift toward more unsettled conditions. Ensemble model guidance shows modest spread driven by the precise timing and strength of a passing frontal boundary, variable cloud cover that limits daytime heating, and light precipitation chances that can suppress maximum temperatures by 1–2°C. Historical climatology places late-summer Moscow maxima near 22°C, but recent upstream observations suggest cooler maritime air advection is already underway. Traders therefore cluster around the 17–18°C outcomes because small differences in boundary-layer moisture or wind direction can readily tip the daily high between these thresholds, while probabilities for 16°C or 19°C reflect residual model disagreement ahead of the next update cycle.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Khối lượng
$374Ngày kết thúc
Aug 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Moscow indicate a cooling trend into mid-August, with highs likely near 17–18°C on the 12th amid a shift toward more unsettled conditions. Ensemble model guidance shows modest spread driven by the precise timing and strength of a passing frontal boundary, variable cloud cover that limits daytime heating, and light precipitation chances that can suppress maximum temperatures by 1–2°C. Historical climatology places late-summer Moscow maxima near 22°C, but recent upstream observations suggest cooler maritime air advection is already underway. Traders therefore cluster around the 17–18°C outcomes because small differences in boundary-layer moisture or wind direction can readily tip the daily high between these thresholds, while probabilities for 16°C or 19°C reflect residual model disagreement ahead of the next update cycle.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$374Ngày kết thúc
Aug 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Moscow indicate a cooling trend into mid-August, with highs likely near 17–18°C on the 12th amid a shift toward more unsettled conditions. Ensemble model guidance shows modest spread driven by the precise timing and strength of a passing frontal boundary, variable cloud cover that limits daytime heating, and light precipitation chances that can suppress maximum temperatures by 1–2°C. Historical climatology places late-summer Moscow maxima near 22°C, but recent upstream observations suggest cooler maritime air advection is already underway. Traders therefore cluster around the 17–18°C outcomes because small differences in boundary-layer moisture or wind direction can readily tip the daily high between these thresholds, while probabilities for 16°C or 19°C reflect residual model disagreement ahead of the next update cycle.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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