Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models point to a high near 32–33°C for Seoul and Incheon on August 12 amid an ongoing regional heatwave driven by persistent high pressure, easterly flow descending off the peninsula's mountains, and residual effects from nearby typhoon circulation. These conditions favor clear to partly cloudy skies with strong daytime insolation and limited mixing, while typical mid-August humidity near 70–80% amplifies perceived heat but has minimal direct impact on maximum air temperature. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around these values, with modest spread arising from small timing differences in any weak frontal passage or cloud cover. Historical climatology places average August highs near 30–31°C, so the current pattern reflects above-normal persistence that traders are pricing into the closely bunched 31–34°C outcomes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 12?
32°C 34%
33°C 27%
31°C 20%
34°C 12%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
6%
31°C
20%
32°C
34%
33°C
27%
34°C
12%
35°C
4%
36°C
4%
37°C or higher
1%
32°C 34%
33°C 27%
31°C 20%
34°C 12%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
6%
31°C
20%
32°C
34%
33°C
27%
34°C
12%
35°C
4%
36°C
4%
37°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models point to a high near 32–33°C for Seoul and Incheon on August 12 amid an ongoing regional heatwave driven by persistent high pressure, easterly flow descending off the peninsula's mountains, and residual effects from nearby typhoon circulation. These conditions favor clear to partly cloudy skies with strong daytime insolation and limited mixing, while typical mid-August humidity near 70–80% amplifies perceived heat but has minimal direct impact on maximum air temperature. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around these values, with modest spread arising from small timing differences in any weak frontal passage or cloud cover. Historical climatology places average August highs near 30–31°C, so the current pattern reflects above-normal persistence that traders are pricing into the closely bunched 31–34°C outcomes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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