Recent forecasts for Shanghai on August 12, 2026, indicate overcast skies with light rain or showers, which are suppressing daytime maxima below the typical August average high of 31–32°C. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation reduce solar heating and evaporative cooling, positioning 28–30°C as the most probable range according to multiple meteorological outlooks. Trader-implied probabilities, led by 29°C at 46.5%, reflect this consensus from current model guidance and observed regional patterns of mid-August rainfall. Historical climatology shows similar conditions often cap peaks near 29–30°C when moisture influx dominates steering flow. New official updates from monitoring agencies on August 11–12 could further refine resolution thresholds tied to verified maximum readings.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 12?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 12?
29°C 47%
28°C 30%
30°C 18%
27°C 7%
MỚI
$16,611 KL.
MỚI
$16,611 KL.
Aug 12, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
7%
28°C
30%
29°C
47%
30°C
18%
31°C
3%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 47%
28°C 30%
30°C 18%
27°C 7%
MỚI
$16,611 KL.
MỚI
$16,611 KL.
Aug 12, 2026
24°C or below
$796 KL.
<1%
25°C
$821 KL.
<1%
26°C
$621 KL.
<1%
27°C
$2,178 KL.
7%
28°C
$3,559 KL.
30%
29°C
$3,048 KL.
47%
30°C
$2,400 KL.
18%
31°C
$1,445 KL.
3%
32°C
$457 KL.
1%
33°C
$755 KL.
<1%
34°C or higher
$532 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shanghai on August 12, 2026, indicate overcast skies with light rain or showers, which are suppressing daytime maxima below the typical August average high of 31–32°C. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation reduce solar heating and evaporative cooling, positioning 28–30°C as the most probable range according to multiple meteorological outlooks. Trader-implied probabilities, led by 29°C at 46.5%, reflect this consensus from current model guidance and observed regional patterns of mid-August rainfall. Historical climatology shows similar conditions often cap peaks near 29–30°C when moisture influx dominates steering flow. New official updates from monitoring agencies on August 11–12 could further refine resolution thresholds tied to verified maximum readings.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Khối lượng
$16,611Ngày kết thúc
Aug 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shanghai on August 12, 2026, indicate overcast skies with light rain or showers, which are suppressing daytime maxima below the typical August average high of 31–32°C. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation reduce solar heating and evaporative cooling, positioning 28–30°C as the most probable range according to multiple meteorological outlooks. Trader-implied probabilities, led by 29°C at 46.5%, reflect this consensus from current model guidance and observed regional patterns of mid-August rainfall. Historical climatology shows similar conditions often cap peaks near 29–30°C when moisture influx dominates steering flow. New official updates from monitoring agencies on August 11–12 could further refine resolution thresholds tied to verified maximum readings.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$16,611Ngày kết thúc
Aug 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Shanghai on August 12, 2026, indicate overcast skies with light rain or showers, which are suppressing daytime maxima below the typical August average high of 31–32°C. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation reduce solar heating and evaporative cooling, positioning 28–30°C as the most probable range according to multiple meteorological outlooks. Trader-implied probabilities, led by 29°C at 46.5%, reflect this consensus from current model guidance and observed regional patterns of mid-August rainfall. Historical climatology shows similar conditions often cap peaks near 29–30°C when moisture influx dominates steering flow. New official updates from monitoring agencies on August 11–12 could further refine resolution thresholds tied to verified maximum readings.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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