Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and other models indicate a nighttime minimum for Tokyo on August 13 near the long-term August average of 23.7°C, with trader consensus split between 23°C and 24°C due to uncertainty in cloud cover and shower timing. Scattered thunderstorms expected around the period could enhance radiative cooling if skies clear afterward, while persistent humidity and urban heat retention favor a slightly higher floor near 24°C. Official guidance shows only modest day-to-day variability, and resolution hinges on the precise lowest hourly reading at Tokyo’s primary stations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Tokyo on August 13?
23°C 40%
24°C 40%
22°C 18%
25°C 5%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
3%
22°C
18%
23°C
40%
24°C
40%
25°C
5%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
<1%
23°C 40%
24°C 40%
22°C 18%
25°C 5%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
3%
22°C
18%
23°C
40%
24°C
40%
25°C
5%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and other models indicate a nighttime minimum for Tokyo on August 13 near the long-term August average of 23.7°C, with trader consensus split between 23°C and 24°C due to uncertainty in cloud cover and shower timing. Scattered thunderstorms expected around the period could enhance radiative cooling if skies clear afterward, while persistent humidity and urban heat retention favor a slightly higher floor near 24°C. Official guidance shows only modest day-to-day variability, and resolution hinges on the precise lowest hourly reading at Tokyo’s primary stations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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