Recent forecast model consensus from sources including ECMWF and GFS runs indicates a cooling trend for Moscow by August 13, driven by a passing frontal system and increased cloud cover that limits daytime heating, with projected highs clustered between 15–18°C depending on exact timing of showers. Traders have concentrated implied probability on 15–17°C outcomes as these align with ensemble means showing modest variability from lingering warm advection versus stronger northerly flow. Historical August climatology places typical daily maxima near 22°C, underscoring how the current synoptic setup deviates from average and creates the tight market distribution ahead of final observational data from Russian meteorological stations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Moscow on August 13?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 13?
17°C 28%
16°C 25%
15°C 19%
18°C 14%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 13, 2026
12°C or below
2%
13°C
4%
14°C
11%
15°C
26%
16°C
25%
17°C
30%
18°C
14%
19°C
4%
20°C
6%
21°C
6%
22°C or higher
2%
17°C 28%
16°C 25%
15°C 19%
18°C 14%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 13, 2026
12°C or below
$5 KL.
2%
13°C
$11 KL.
4%
14°C
$20 KL.
11%
15°C
$25 KL.
26%
16°C
$75 KL.
25%
17°C
$64 KL.
30%
18°C
$236 KL.
14%
19°C
$11 KL.
4%
20°C
$17 KL.
6%
21°C
$12 KL.
6%
22°C or higher
$12 KL.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including ECMWF and GFS runs indicates a cooling trend for Moscow by August 13, driven by a passing frontal system and increased cloud cover that limits daytime heating, with projected highs clustered between 15–18°C depending on exact timing of showers. Traders have concentrated implied probability on 15–17°C outcomes as these align with ensemble means showing modest variability from lingering warm advection versus stronger northerly flow. Historical August climatology places typical daily maxima near 22°C, underscoring how the current synoptic setup deviates from average and creates the tight market distribution ahead of final observational data from Russian meteorological stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Khối lượng
$488Ngày kết thúc
Aug 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including ECMWF and GFS runs indicates a cooling trend for Moscow by August 13, driven by a passing frontal system and increased cloud cover that limits daytime heating, with projected highs clustered between 15–18°C depending on exact timing of showers. Traders have concentrated implied probability on 15–17°C outcomes as these align with ensemble means showing modest variability from lingering warm advection versus stronger northerly flow. Historical August climatology places typical daily maxima near 22°C, underscoring how the current synoptic setup deviates from average and creates the tight market distribution ahead of final observational data from Russian meteorological stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$488Ngày kết thúc
Aug 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from sources including ECMWF and GFS runs indicates a cooling trend for Moscow by August 13, driven by a passing frontal system and increased cloud cover that limits daytime heating, with projected highs clustered between 15–18°C depending on exact timing of showers. Traders have concentrated implied probability on 15–17°C outcomes as these align with ensemble means showing modest variability from lingering warm advection versus stronger northerly flow. Historical August climatology places typical daily maxima near 22°C, underscoring how the current synoptic setup deviates from average and creates the tight market distribution ahead of final observational data from Russian meteorological stations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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