Forecast models for Istanbul on August 15 indicate daytime highs near 25–26°C, driven by partly cloudy conditions, moderate northeasterly winds, and sea-breeze circulation from the Marmara and Black Seas that limits peak heating. Subtle variations in boundary-layer moisture, cloud timing, and 10-meter wind speeds differentiate outcomes between 25°C and 26°C, with historical late-August climatology showing gradual cooling from mid-month peaks around 28°C. Trader consensus, reflected in closely matched probabilities, incorporates these near-term uncertainties ahead of final observational data from official stations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 15?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 15?
26°C 49%
25°C 42%
24°C 9%
29°C 7%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 15, 2026
22°C or below
4%
23°C
2%
24°C
9%
25°C
42%
26°C
49%
27°C
7%
28°C
4%
29°C
7%
30°C
3%
31°C
3%
32°C or higher
2%
26°C 49%
25°C 42%
24°C 9%
29°C 7%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 15, 2026
22°C or below
$46 KL.
4%
23°C
$12 KL.
2%
24°C
$179 KL.
9%
25°C
$39 KL.
42%
26°C
$24 KL.
49%
27°C
$0 KL.
7%
28°C
$0 KL.
4%
29°C
$9 KL.
7%
30°C
$12 KL.
3%
31°C
$12 KL.
3%
32°C or higher
$12 KL.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Istanbul on August 15 indicate daytime highs near 25–26°C, driven by partly cloudy conditions, moderate northeasterly winds, and sea-breeze circulation from the Marmara and Black Seas that limits peak heating. Subtle variations in boundary-layer moisture, cloud timing, and 10-meter wind speeds differentiate outcomes between 25°C and 26°C, with historical late-August climatology showing gradual cooling from mid-month peaks around 28°C. Trader consensus, reflected in closely matched probabilities, incorporates these near-term uncertainties ahead of final observational data from official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Khối lượng
$345Ngày kết thúc
Aug 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Istanbul on August 15 indicate daytime highs near 25–26°C, driven by partly cloudy conditions, moderate northeasterly winds, and sea-breeze circulation from the Marmara and Black Seas that limits peak heating. Subtle variations in boundary-layer moisture, cloud timing, and 10-meter wind speeds differentiate outcomes between 25°C and 26°C, with historical late-August climatology showing gradual cooling from mid-month peaks around 28°C. Trader consensus, reflected in closely matched probabilities, incorporates these near-term uncertainties ahead of final observational data from official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$345Ngày kết thúc
Aug 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models for Istanbul on August 15 indicate daytime highs near 25–26°C, driven by partly cloudy conditions, moderate northeasterly winds, and sea-breeze circulation from the Marmara and Black Seas that limits peak heating. Subtle variations in boundary-layer moisture, cloud timing, and 10-meter wind speeds differentiate outcomes between 25°C and 26°C, with historical late-August climatology showing gradual cooling from mid-month peaks around 28°C. Trader consensus, reflected in closely matched probabilities, incorporates these near-term uncertainties ahead of final observational data from official stations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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