Drier Southwest Monsoon conditions, reinforced by an emerging El Niño and positive Indian Ocean Dipole, form the main driver behind trader emphasis on 32°C (51.5%) and 33°C (32.5%) for Singapore’s August 13 maximum. National Environment Agency outlooks project daytime highs of 32–34°C through mid-month due to reduced rainfall and limited cloud cover, consistent with recent station readings of 32–33.4°C. Tropical urban heat island effects and model consensus on partly cloudy skies with isolated convection further support this narrow range. Shorter-range forecasts indicate slightly cooler outcomes near 31°C remain possible if convection increases, while probabilities drop sharply beyond 34°C given typical diurnal variability and forecast uncertainty ahead of official NEA observations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Singapore on August 13?
32°C 51%
33°C 33%
31°C 11%
34°C 5%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
11%
32°C
51%
33°C
33%
34°C
5%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 51%
33°C 33%
31°C 11%
34°C 5%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
11%
32°C
51%
33°C
33%
34°C
5%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Drier Southwest Monsoon conditions, reinforced by an emerging El Niño and positive Indian Ocean Dipole, form the main driver behind trader emphasis on 32°C (51.5%) and 33°C (32.5%) for Singapore’s August 13 maximum. National Environment Agency outlooks project daytime highs of 32–34°C through mid-month due to reduced rainfall and limited cloud cover, consistent with recent station readings of 32–33.4°C. Tropical urban heat island effects and model consensus on partly cloudy skies with isolated convection further support this narrow range. Shorter-range forecasts indicate slightly cooler outcomes near 31°C remain possible if convection increases, while probabilities drop sharply beyond 34°C given typical diurnal variability and forecast uncertainty ahead of official NEA observations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật


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