Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models indicate a maximum temperature near 33–34°C for August 13, with passing showers and overcast conditions expected to limit further intensification after the recent record 36.9°C peak driven by Typhoon Dolphin. These conditions, combined with typical August humidity and monsoon influences, position 33°C as the market favorite at 43.5% implied probability, followed by 34°C and 32°C. Historical August averages hover near 32°C, but the lingering warm air mass supports the current trader consensus around these central outcomes ahead of final observational data.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 13?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 13?
33°C 44%
34°C 29%
32°C 24%
31°C 4%
MỚI
$17,373 KL.
MỚI
$17,373 KL.
Aug 13, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
4%
32°C
24%
33°C
44%
34°C
29%
35°C
4%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 44%
34°C 29%
32°C 24%
31°C 4%
MỚI
$17,373 KL.
MỚI
$17,373 KL.
Aug 13, 2026
27°C or below
$413 KL.
<1%
28°C
$949 KL.
<1%
29°C
$1,017 KL.
<1%
30°C
$1,567 KL.
1%
31°C
$3,277 KL.
4%
32°C
$1,686 KL.
24%
33°C
$3,347 KL.
44%
34°C
$2,086 KL.
29%
35°C
$2,137 KL.
4%
36°C
$550 KL.
1%
37°C or higher
$345 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models indicate a maximum temperature near 33–34°C for August 13, with passing showers and overcast conditions expected to limit further intensification after the recent record 36.9°C peak driven by Typhoon Dolphin. These conditions, combined with typical August humidity and monsoon influences, position 33°C as the market favorite at 43.5% implied probability, followed by 34°C and 32°C. Historical August averages hover near 32°C, but the lingering warm air mass supports the current trader consensus around these central outcomes ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Khối lượng
$17,373Ngày kết thúc
Aug 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models indicate a maximum temperature near 33–34°C for August 13, with passing showers and overcast conditions expected to limit further intensification after the recent record 36.9°C peak driven by Typhoon Dolphin. These conditions, combined with typical August humidity and monsoon influences, position 33°C as the market favorite at 43.5% implied probability, followed by 34°C and 32°C. Historical August averages hover near 32°C, but the lingering warm air mass supports the current trader consensus around these central outcomes ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$17,373Ngày kết thúc
Aug 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models indicate a maximum temperature near 33–34°C for August 13, with passing showers and overcast conditions expected to limit further intensification after the recent record 36.9°C peak driven by Typhoon Dolphin. These conditions, combined with typical August humidity and monsoon influences, position 33°C as the market favorite at 43.5% implied probability, followed by 34°C and 32°C. Historical August averages hover near 32°C, but the lingering warm air mass supports the current trader consensus around these central outcomes ahead of final observational data.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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