A cooling trend following mid-August's intense heatwave is the main driver behind the market's strong consensus on a low of 22°C or below for Paris on August 15. After daytime peaks near 38°C and nighttime minima around 22°C earlier in the week, Météo-France and other models indicate a shift toward cloudier skies with thunderstorm potential, supporting daytime highs near 30°C and overnight lows of 20–22°C. This aligns with typical late-summer patterns where Atlantic troughs moderate temperatures, though urban heat island effects in central Paris can limit overnight cooling. Recent model runs show limited spread on the minimum, with fresh forecast updates from Météo-France and ECMWF likely to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Paris on August 15?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 15?
22°C or below 77%
23°C 20%
24°C 3.2%
25°C 1.1%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 15, 2026
22°C or below
77%
23°C
20%
24°C
3%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
22°C or below 77%
23°C 20%
24°C 3.2%
25°C 1.1%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 15, 2026
22°C or below
$2,343 KL.
77%
23°C
$1,431 KL.
20%
24°C
$468 KL.
3%
25°C
$339 KL.
1%
26°C
$187 KL.
<1%
27°C
$289 KL.
<1%
28°C
$251 KL.
<1%
29°C
$277 KL.
<1%
30°C
$282 KL.
<1%
31°C
$392 KL.
<1%
32°C or higher
$377 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A cooling trend following mid-August's intense heatwave is the main driver behind the market's strong consensus on a low of 22°C or below for Paris on August 15. After daytime peaks near 38°C and nighttime minima around 22°C earlier in the week, Météo-France and other models indicate a shift toward cloudier skies with thunderstorm potential, supporting daytime highs near 30°C and overnight lows of 20–22°C. This aligns with typical late-summer patterns where Atlantic troughs moderate temperatures, though urban heat island effects in central Paris can limit overnight cooling. Recent model runs show limited spread on the minimum, with fresh forecast updates from Météo-France and ECMWF likely to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 13, 2026, 1:28 AM ET
Khối lượng
$6,636Ngày kết thúc
Aug 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 13, 2026, 1:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A cooling trend following mid-August's intense heatwave is the main driver behind the market's strong consensus on a low of 22°C or below for Paris on August 15. After daytime peaks near 38°C and nighttime minima around 22°C earlier in the week, Météo-France and other models indicate a shift toward cloudier skies with thunderstorm potential, supporting daytime highs near 30°C and overnight lows of 20–22°C. This aligns with typical late-summer patterns where Atlantic troughs moderate temperatures, though urban heat island effects in central Paris can limit overnight cooling. Recent model runs show limited spread on the minimum, with fresh forecast updates from Météo-France and ECMWF likely to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$6,636Ngày kết thúc
Aug 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 13, 2026, 1:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A cooling trend following mid-August's intense heatwave is the main driver behind the market's strong consensus on a low of 22°C or below for Paris on August 15. After daytime peaks near 38°C and nighttime minima around 22°C earlier in the week, Météo-France and other models indicate a shift toward cloudier skies with thunderstorm potential, supporting daytime highs near 30°C and overnight lows of 20–22°C. This aligns with typical late-summer patterns where Atlantic troughs moderate temperatures, though urban heat island effects in central Paris can limit overnight cooling. Recent model runs show limited spread on the minimum, with fresh forecast updates from Météo-France and ECMWF likely to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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