Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate cloudy conditions and a 29°C high for Tokyo on August 13, with similar patterns expected for August 14 amid 30–40% precipitation chances that could limit solar heating and cap afternoon temperatures. Ensemble models show modest spread driven by variable cloud cover and urban heat island effects, where reduced insolation from showers favors 27–28°C outcomes while clearer intervals support 29–30°C. Summer 2026 projections of above-normal warmth provide context, yet short-range uncertainty in steering patterns and moisture keeps the 27–29°C cluster closely matched in trader positioning ahead of updated model runs.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Tokyo on August 14?
29°C 27%
28°C 23%
27°C 22%
30°C 10%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
4%
26°C
7%
27°C
22%
28°C
23%
29°C
27%
30°C
10%
31°C
3%
32°C or higher
1%
29°C 27%
28°C 23%
27°C 22%
30°C 10%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
4%
26°C
7%
27°C
22%
28°C
23%
29°C
27%
30°C
10%
31°C
3%
32°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate cloudy conditions and a 29°C high for Tokyo on August 13, with similar patterns expected for August 14 amid 30–40% precipitation chances that could limit solar heating and cap afternoon temperatures. Ensemble models show modest spread driven by variable cloud cover and urban heat island effects, where reduced insolation from showers favors 27–28°C outcomes while clearer intervals support 29–30°C. Summer 2026 projections of above-normal warmth provide context, yet short-range uncertainty in steering patterns and moisture keeps the 27–29°C cluster closely matched in trader positioning ahead of updated model runs.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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