Recent weather forecasts for Buenos Aires on August 1, 2026, show a consensus maximum near 20°C amid typical winter patterns, driving the market's leading 52.5% implied probability for that outcome. Seasonal norms place August highs around 16–17°C based on long-term observations, but current model runs indicate a mild anomaly with potential for 19–21°C under partly cloudy to stormy conditions that limit daytime warming. Recent July observations, including highs of 15–20°C, reinforce this positioning while highlighting forecast uncertainty from variable Atlantic influences and precipitation. Trader consensus, reflected in the 22% and 16.5% odds for 21°C and 19°C, accounts for model spreads and resolution criteria tied to official daily maxima.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 1?
20°C 44%
19°C 26%
21°C 22%
18°C 10%
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
2%
16°C
3%
17°C
3%
18°C
10%
19°C
26%
20°C
44%
21°C
22%
22°C
3%
23°C
2%
24°C or higher
2%
20°C 44%
19°C 26%
21°C 22%
18°C 10%
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
2%
16°C
3%
17°C
3%
18°C
10%
19°C
26%
20°C
44%
21°C
22%
22°C
3%
23°C
2%
24°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jul 30, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent weather forecasts for Buenos Aires on August 1, 2026, show a consensus maximum near 20°C amid typical winter patterns, driving the market's leading 52.5% implied probability for that outcome. Seasonal norms place August highs around 16–17°C based on long-term observations, but current model runs indicate a mild anomaly with potential for 19–21°C under partly cloudy to stormy conditions that limit daytime warming. Recent July observations, including highs of 15–20°C, reinforce this positioning while highlighting forecast uncertainty from variable Atlantic influences and precipitation. Trader consensus, reflected in the 22% and 16.5% odds for 21°C and 19°C, accounts for model spreads and resolution criteria tied to official daily maxima.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật



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