Official measurements from the National Weather Service confirmed a daily maximum of 78–79°F in Los Angeles on July 31, aligning precisely with the market's sole outcome and driving the 100% implied probability. Persistent marine layer stratus and onshore flow from the Pacific suppressed temperatures below seasonal averages, consistent with recent model guidance from the National Weather Service and climatological patterns for late July. This consensus reflects aggregated trader assessment of verified station data rather than forecasts. Resolution could shift only through rare post-analysis revisions to official records or discrepancies in station selection, though historical verification processes make such changes highly improbable.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Los Angeles on July 31?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on July 31?
78-79°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$81,189 KL.
$81,189 KL.
Jul 31, 2026
71°F or below
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
Yes
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90°F or higher
No
78-79°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$81,189 KL.
$81,189 KL.
Jul 31, 2026
71°F or below
$719 KL.
No
72-73°F
$5,487 KL.
No
74-75°F
$6,941 KL.
No
76-77°F
$11,530 KL.
No
78-79°F
$19,272 KL.
Yes
80-81°F
$12,201 KL.
No
82-83°F
$9,238 KL.
No
84-85°F
$5,488 KL.
No
86-87°F
$3,027 KL.
No
88-89°F
$3,321 KL.
No
90°F or higher
$3,965 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official measurements from the National Weather Service confirmed a daily maximum of 78–79°F in Los Angeles on July 31, aligning precisely with the market's sole outcome and driving the 100% implied probability. Persistent marine layer stratus and onshore flow from the Pacific suppressed temperatures below seasonal averages, consistent with recent model guidance from the National Weather Service and climatological patterns for late July. This consensus reflects aggregated trader assessment of verified station data rather than forecasts. Resolution could shift only through rare post-analysis revisions to official records or discrepancies in station selection, though historical verification processes make such changes highly improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jul 29, 2026, 10:03 PM ET
Khối lượng
$81,189Ngày kết thúc
Jul 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 29, 2026, 10:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official measurements from the National Weather Service confirmed a daily maximum of 78–79°F in Los Angeles on July 31, aligning precisely with the market's sole outcome and driving the 100% implied probability. Persistent marine layer stratus and onshore flow from the Pacific suppressed temperatures below seasonal averages, consistent with recent model guidance from the National Weather Service and climatological patterns for late July. This consensus reflects aggregated trader assessment of verified station data rather than forecasts. Resolution could shift only through rare post-analysis revisions to official records or discrepancies in station selection, though historical verification processes make such changes highly improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$81,189Ngày kết thúc
Jul 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 29, 2026, 10:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Official measurements from the National Weather Service confirmed a daily maximum of 78–79°F in Los Angeles on July 31, aligning precisely with the market's sole outcome and driving the 100% implied probability. Persistent marine layer stratus and onshore flow from the Pacific suppressed temperatures below seasonal averages, consistent with recent model guidance from the National Weather Service and climatological patterns for late July. This consensus reflects aggregated trader assessment of verified station data rather than forecasts. Resolution could shift only through rare post-analysis revisions to official records or discrepancies in station selection, though historical verification processes make such changes highly improbable.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp