Official Met Office forecasts indicate a maximum of 21°C in London on August 21 under sunny intervals with light winds, aligning closely with ensemble model consensus from recent runs showing limited warming potential. Following a period of above-average warmth earlier in August, a shift toward cooler Atlantic air has stabilized daytime highs near long-term climatological norms of 21–22°C for late summer. Traders have priced 21°C and 22°C as the clear leaders at 46.5% and 33.5% implied probability, reflecting high confidence in this narrow range given minimal expected cloud cover or frontal activity. Updated guidance through the evening of August 20 shows low risk of exceeding 23°C or falling below 20°C, with resolution hinging on the official recorded high at designated London stations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in London on August 21?
Highest temperature in London on August 21?
21°C 47%
22°C 33%
20°C 12%
23°C 6%
MỚI
$10,622 KL.
MỚI
$10,622 KL.
Aug 21, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
2%
19°C
3%
20°C
12%
21°C
47%
22°C
33%
23°C
6%
24°C
2%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
21°C 47%
22°C 33%
20°C 12%
23°C 6%
MỚI
$10,622 KL.
MỚI
$10,622 KL.
Aug 21, 2026
17°C or below
$1,042 KL.
<1%
18°C
$419 KL.
2%
19°C
$493 KL.
3%
20°C
$794 KL.
12%
21°C
$2,424 KL.
47%
22°C
$2,407 KL.
33%
23°C
$1,213 KL.
6%
24°C
$493 KL.
2%
25°C
$390 KL.
<1%
26°C
$503 KL.
<1%
27°C or higher
$444 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Met Office forecasts indicate a maximum of 21°C in London on August 21 under sunny intervals with light winds, aligning closely with ensemble model consensus from recent runs showing limited warming potential. Following a period of above-average warmth earlier in August, a shift toward cooler Atlantic air has stabilized daytime highs near long-term climatological norms of 21–22°C for late summer. Traders have priced 21°C and 22°C as the clear leaders at 46.5% and 33.5% implied probability, reflecting high confidence in this narrow range given minimal expected cloud cover or frontal activity. Updated guidance through the evening of August 20 shows low risk of exceeding 23°C or falling below 20°C, with resolution hinging on the official recorded high at designated London stations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 19, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Khối lượng
$10,622Ngày kết thúc
Aug 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 19, 2026, 12:55 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Met Office forecasts indicate a maximum of 21°C in London on August 21 under sunny intervals with light winds, aligning closely with ensemble model consensus from recent runs showing limited warming potential. Following a period of above-average warmth earlier in August, a shift toward cooler Atlantic air has stabilized daytime highs near long-term climatological norms of 21–22°C for late summer. Traders have priced 21°C and 22°C as the clear leaders at 46.5% and 33.5% implied probability, reflecting high confidence in this narrow range given minimal expected cloud cover or frontal activity. Updated guidance through the evening of August 20 shows low risk of exceeding 23°C or falling below 20°C, with resolution hinging on the official recorded high at designated London stations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$10,622Ngày kết thúc
Aug 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 19, 2026, 12:55 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Met Office forecasts indicate a maximum of 21°C in London on August 21 under sunny intervals with light winds, aligning closely with ensemble model consensus from recent runs showing limited warming potential. Following a period of above-average warmth earlier in August, a shift toward cooler Atlantic air has stabilized daytime highs near long-term climatological norms of 21–22°C for late summer. Traders have priced 21°C and 22°C as the clear leaders at 46.5% and 33.5% implied probability, reflecting high confidence in this narrow range given minimal expected cloud cover or frontal activity. Updated guidance through the evening of August 20 shows low risk of exceeding 23°C or falling below 20°C, with resolution hinging on the official recorded high at designated London stations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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