Latest National Weather Service guidance for Los Angeles International Airport points to a daytime high near 80°F on August 22, driven by onshore flow and a strengthening marine layer that limits daytime warming along the coast. This aligns with the market’s leading 80–81°F bracket at 42.5% implied probability and the 82–83°F option at 32%, as models show modest warming potential if the inversion weakens slightly. Typical late-August climatology for downtown Los Angeles centers around 84°F, so current conditions reflect cooler-than-average marine influence rather than heat-wave setup. Updated model runs and evening sounding data over the next 24 hours will refine whether the high stays in the low 80s or edges higher.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Los Angeles on August 22?
80-81°F 43%
82-83°F 32%
78-79°F 17%
76-77°F 9%
73°F or below
1%
74-75°F
7%
76-77°F
9%
78-79°F
17%
80-81°F
43%
82-83°F
32%
84-85°F
5%
86-87°F
5%
88-89°F
5%
90-91°F
2%
92°F or higher
1%
80-81°F 43%
82-83°F 32%
78-79°F 17%
76-77°F 9%
73°F or below
1%
74-75°F
7%
76-77°F
9%
78-79°F
17%
80-81°F
43%
82-83°F
32%
84-85°F
5%
86-87°F
5%
88-89°F
5%
90-91°F
2%
92°F or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 20, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service guidance for Los Angeles International Airport points to a daytime high near 80°F on August 22, driven by onshore flow and a strengthening marine layer that limits daytime warming along the coast. This aligns with the market’s leading 80–81°F bracket at 42.5% implied probability and the 82–83°F option at 32%, as models show modest warming potential if the inversion weakens slightly. Typical late-August climatology for downtown Los Angeles centers around 84°F, so current conditions reflect cooler-than-average marine influence rather than heat-wave setup. Updated model runs and evening sounding data over the next 24 hours will refine whether the high stays in the low 80s or edges higher.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật


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