Recent forecasts from meteorological models project a minimum temperature near 12–15°C in Mexico City on August 22, 2026, driven by the high-altitude valley setting (roughly 2,240 m) and persistent moisture from the rainy season that favors partly cloudy, showery conditions. These factors limit nocturnal radiative cooling while suppressing stronger daytime heating, keeping overnight lows aligned with August climatology of 11–14°C. Trader-implied probabilities concentrate on the 12°C and 15°C outcomes as latest model runs show modest upward revisions amid lingering humidity, with very low odds assigned to extremes below 11°C or above 16°C given the absence of clear-sky or anomalous air-mass influences. Updated guidance from agencies like CONAGUA will further refine these assessments ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Mexico City on August 22?
Lowest temperature in Mexico City on August 22?
15°C 91%
12°C 19%
13°C 19%
6°C or below <1%
$2,126 KL.
$2,126 KL.
Aug 22, 2026
6°C or below
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C or higher
No
15°C 91%
12°C 19%
13°C 19%
6°C or below <1%
$2,126 KL.
$2,126 KL.
Aug 22, 2026
6°C or below
$125 KL.
No
7°C
$105 KL.
No
8°C
$127 KL.
No
9°C
$132 KL.
No
10°C
$221 KL.
No
11°C
$127 KL.
No
12°C
$32 KL.
No
13°C
$32 KL.
No
14°C
$614 KL.
No
15°C
$210 KL.
Yes
16°C or higher
$401 KL.
No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models project a minimum temperature near 12–15°C in Mexico City on August 22, 2026, driven by the high-altitude valley setting (roughly 2,240 m) and persistent moisture from the rainy season that favors partly cloudy, showery conditions. These factors limit nocturnal radiative cooling while suppressing stronger daytime heating, keeping overnight lows aligned with August climatology of 11–14°C. Trader-implied probabilities concentrate on the 12°C and 15°C outcomes as latest model runs show modest upward revisions amid lingering humidity, with very low odds assigned to extremes below 11°C or above 16°C given the absence of clear-sky or anomalous air-mass influences. Updated guidance from agencies like CONAGUA will further refine these assessments ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 20, 2026, 8:30 PM ET
Khối lượng
$2,126Ngày kết thúc
Aug 22, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 20, 2026, 8:30 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models project a minimum temperature near 12–15°C in Mexico City on August 22, 2026, driven by the high-altitude valley setting (roughly 2,240 m) and persistent moisture from the rainy season that favors partly cloudy, showery conditions. These factors limit nocturnal radiative cooling while suppressing stronger daytime heating, keeping overnight lows aligned with August climatology of 11–14°C. Trader-implied probabilities concentrate on the 12°C and 15°C outcomes as latest model runs show modest upward revisions amid lingering humidity, with very low odds assigned to extremes below 11°C or above 16°C given the absence of clear-sky or anomalous air-mass influences. Updated guidance from agencies like CONAGUA will further refine these assessments ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$2,126Ngày kết thúc
Aug 22, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 20, 2026, 8:30 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Recent forecasts from meteorological models project a minimum temperature near 12–15°C in Mexico City on August 22, 2026, driven by the high-altitude valley setting (roughly 2,240 m) and persistent moisture from the rainy season that favors partly cloudy, showery conditions. These factors limit nocturnal radiative cooling while suppressing stronger daytime heating, keeping overnight lows aligned with August climatology of 11–14°C. Trader-implied probabilities concentrate on the 12°C and 15°C outcomes as latest model runs show modest upward revisions amid lingering humidity, with very low odds assigned to extremes below 11°C or above 16°C given the absence of clear-sky or anomalous air-mass influences. Updated guidance from agencies like CONAGUA will further refine these assessments ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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