Mexico City's high-elevation setting (around 2,240 m) produces typical late-August overnight lows near 12°C amid the rainy season's frequent cloud cover and showers, which limit radiative cooling. Recent forecasts from multiple models converge on 11–13°C minimums for August 31, reflecting persistent moisture, light winds, and high humidity that moderate temperature drops. Traders price the market's tight clustering around 12–15°C outcomes because small variations in cloud thickness, timing of any showers, or local urban heat-island effects can shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C, while historical data show extremes below 9°C or above 15°C remain uncommon in this climatological window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Mexico City on August 31?
7°C or below 53%
12°C 27%
13°C 27%
14°C 27%
7°C or below
53%
8°C
1%
9°C
3%
10°C
26%
11°C
26%
12°C
27%
13°C
27%
14°C
27%
15°C
27%
16°C
26%
17°C or higher
24%
7°C or below 53%
12°C 27%
13°C 27%
14°C 27%
7°C or below
53%
8°C
1%
9°C
3%
10°C
26%
11°C
26%
12°C
27%
13°C
27%
14°C
27%
15°C
27%
16°C
26%
17°C or higher
24%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 29, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Mexico City's high-elevation setting (around 2,240 m) produces typical late-August overnight lows near 12°C amid the rainy season's frequent cloud cover and showers, which limit radiative cooling. Recent forecasts from multiple models converge on 11–13°C minimums for August 31, reflecting persistent moisture, light winds, and high humidity that moderate temperature drops. Traders price the market's tight clustering around 12–15°C outcomes because small variations in cloud thickness, timing of any showers, or local urban heat-island effects can shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C, while historical data show extremes below 9°C or above 15°C remain uncommon in this climatological window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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