Recent forecast model consensus points to a minimum temperature near 12–14°C overnight into August 30, driven by partly cloudy skies, light winds, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling over Mexico City’s highland basin. Variable cloud cover and localized precipitation from the ongoing monsoon pattern create the tight clustering of market-implied odds around these values, while drier or clearer conditions in some model runs support slightly lower readings near 11–12°C. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance and international ensembles continue to show modest spread due to timing of any convective activity and urban heat-island effects, with final resolution depending on the official minimum recorded at central stations during the pre-dawn hours.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Mexico City on August 30?
13°C 28%
12°C 27%
14°C 27%
10°C 26%
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
26%
11°C
26%
12°C
27%
13°C
28%
14°C
27%
15°C
25%
16°C or higher
24%
13°C 28%
12°C 27%
14°C 27%
10°C 26%
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
26%
11°C
26%
12°C
27%
13°C
28%
14°C
27%
15°C
25%
16°C or higher
24%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 28, 2026, 2:29 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus points to a minimum temperature near 12–14°C overnight into August 30, driven by partly cloudy skies, light winds, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling over Mexico City’s highland basin. Variable cloud cover and localized precipitation from the ongoing monsoon pattern create the tight clustering of market-implied odds around these values, while drier or clearer conditions in some model runs support slightly lower readings near 11–12°C. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance and international ensembles continue to show modest spread due to timing of any convective activity and urban heat-island effects, with final resolution depending on the official minimum recorded at central stations during the pre-dawn hours.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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