Recent ensemble forecasts from models including ECMWF and Météo-France consensus indicate a maximum temperature in Paris on August 29 most likely between 21–23 °C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers. Persistent southwesterly flow and high cloud cover are limiting daytime heating below the late-August climatological average of 24 °C, while weak pressure gradients reduce the chance of stronger insolation that could push readings to 24 °C or higher. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow distribution, with the tight spread between 22 °C and 23 °C underscoring model uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and precipitation timing. Final resolution will depend on official observations from Paris stations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Paris on August 29?
22°C 35%
23°C 35%
24°C 14%
21°C 13%
$12,119 KL.
$12,119 KL.
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
3%
21°C
13%
22°C
35%
23°C
35%
24°C
14%
25°C or higher
5%
22°C 35%
23°C 35%
24°C 14%
21°C 13%
$12,119 KL.
$12,119 KL.
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
3%
21°C
13%
22°C
35%
23°C
35%
24°C
14%
25°C or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 27, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from models including ECMWF and Météo-France consensus indicate a maximum temperature in Paris on August 29 most likely between 21–23 °C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers. Persistent southwesterly flow and high cloud cover are limiting daytime heating below the late-August climatological average of 24 °C, while weak pressure gradients reduce the chance of stronger insolation that could push readings to 24 °C or higher. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow distribution, with the tight spread between 22 °C and 23 °C underscoring model uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and precipitation timing. Final resolution will depend on official observations from Paris stations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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