Forecast models from ECMWF, GFS, and others converge on overnight lows of 15–17°C in Paris on August 29 amid southwesterly flow, scattered showers, and persistent cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling while mild maritime air maintains temperatures above the late-August climatological average low of 13.5°C. High humidity and light winds further reduce the diurnal range, positioning 16°C as the most probable minimum with 17°C a close secondary outcome. Trader consensus, reflected in the 57.5% and 34% implied probabilities, aligns with these official guidance trends and historical analogs for similar unsettled patterns, though minor shifts in shower timing or wind strength could adjust the final reading by 1°C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Paris on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 29?
16°C 62%
17°C 31%
18°C 10%
15°C 6%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 29, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
6%
16°C
62%
17°C
31%
18°C
10%
19°C
2%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
16°C 62%
17°C 31%
18°C 10%
15°C 6%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 29, 2026
11°C or below
$273 KL.
<1%
12°C
$173 KL.
<1%
13°C
$474 KL.
1%
14°C
$248 KL.
2%
15°C
$277 KL.
6%
16°C
$1,177 KL.
62%
17°C
$433 KL.
31%
18°C
$422 KL.
10%
19°C
$143 KL.
2%
20°C
$158 KL.
<1%
21°C or higher
$318 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from ECMWF, GFS, and others converge on overnight lows of 15–17°C in Paris on August 29 amid southwesterly flow, scattered showers, and persistent cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling while mild maritime air maintains temperatures above the late-August climatological average low of 13.5°C. High humidity and light winds further reduce the diurnal range, positioning 16°C as the most probable minimum with 17°C a close secondary outcome. Trader consensus, reflected in the 57.5% and 34% implied probabilities, aligns with these official guidance trends and historical analogs for similar unsettled patterns, though minor shifts in shower timing or wind strength could adjust the final reading by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$4,096Ngày kết thúc
Aug 29, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from ECMWF, GFS, and others converge on overnight lows of 15–17°C in Paris on August 29 amid southwesterly flow, scattered showers, and persistent cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling while mild maritime air maintains temperatures above the late-August climatological average low of 13.5°C. High humidity and light winds further reduce the diurnal range, positioning 16°C as the most probable minimum with 17°C a close secondary outcome. Trader consensus, reflected in the 57.5% and 34% implied probabilities, aligns with these official guidance trends and historical analogs for similar unsettled patterns, though minor shifts in shower timing or wind strength could adjust the final reading by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$4,096Ngày kết thúc
Aug 29, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from ECMWF, GFS, and others converge on overnight lows of 15–17°C in Paris on August 29 amid southwesterly flow, scattered showers, and persistent cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling while mild maritime air maintains temperatures above the late-August climatological average low of 13.5°C. High humidity and light winds further reduce the diurnal range, positioning 16°C as the most probable minimum with 17°C a close secondary outcome. Trader consensus, reflected in the 57.5% and 34% implied probabilities, aligns with these official guidance trends and historical analogs for similar unsettled patterns, though minor shifts in shower timing or wind strength could adjust the final reading by 1°C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp