Official National Weather Service forecasts for August 28 indicate highs in the lower 80s across New York City, with Central Park projections centering near 83–84°F amid partly sunny skies, light west winds, and a 40% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms. These conditions follow a similar pattern on August 27 featuring southwesterly flow and scattered convection that limited peak readings to the low 80s. Market-implied odds cluster tightly on 82–85°F because ensemble guidance shows modest variability from cloud timing and storm coverage, which can suppress maximum temperatures by 1–2°F, while recent humidity and lack of strong cold advection keep values above the mid-70s. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will refine the precise peak before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in NYC on August 28?
82-83°F 39%
84-85°F 32%
80-81°F 17%
86-87°F 12%
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
17%
82-83°F
39%
84-85°F
32%
86-87°F
12%
88-89°F
4%
90°F or higher
1%
82-83°F 39%
84-85°F 32%
80-81°F 17%
86-87°F 12%
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
17%
82-83°F
39%
84-85°F
32%
86-87°F
12%
88-89°F
4%
90°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 26, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service forecasts for August 28 indicate highs in the lower 80s across New York City, with Central Park projections centering near 83–84°F amid partly sunny skies, light west winds, and a 40% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms. These conditions follow a similar pattern on August 27 featuring southwesterly flow and scattered convection that limited peak readings to the low 80s. Market-implied odds cluster tightly on 82–85°F because ensemble guidance shows modest variability from cloud timing and storm coverage, which can suppress maximum temperatures by 1–2°F, while recent humidity and lack of strong cold advection keep values above the mid-70s. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will refine the precise peak before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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