Recent short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and global models (ECMWF, GFS) anchor trader sentiment around a 29–31°C peak for Incheon on August 27, with 30°C leading at 36.5% implied probability. Late-August climatology features seasonal cooling from early-month heatwave conditions, with typical diurnal maxima supported by moderate insolation, light westerly winds, and limited cloud cover or precipitation. Ensemble spreads remain narrow within 48 hours of the date, concentrating probability on adjacent brackets while the 32°C+ tail stays under 5% absent strong high-pressure amplification. Updated KMA guidance and next model cycles will determine whether subtle shifts in boundary-layer moisture or steering patterns push the observed high across the 30–31°C threshold.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 27?
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 27?
30°C 37%
29°C 29%
31°C 20%
28°C 11%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 27, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
11%
29°C
29%
30°C
37%
31°C
20%
32°C
5%
33°C or higher
1%
30°C 37%
29°C 29%
31°C 20%
28°C 11%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 27, 2026
23°C or below
$361 KL.
<1%
24°C
$361 KL.
<1%
25°C
$361 KL.
<1%
26°C
$145 KL.
1%
27°C
$103 KL.
2%
28°C
$94 KL.
11%
29°C
$486 KL.
29%
30°C
$176 KL.
37%
31°C
$342 KL.
20%
32°C
$81 KL.
5%
33°C or higher
$745 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and global models (ECMWF, GFS) anchor trader sentiment around a 29–31°C peak for Incheon on August 27, with 30°C leading at 36.5% implied probability. Late-August climatology features seasonal cooling from early-month heatwave conditions, with typical diurnal maxima supported by moderate insolation, light westerly winds, and limited cloud cover or precipitation. Ensemble spreads remain narrow within 48 hours of the date, concentrating probability on adjacent brackets while the 32°C+ tail stays under 5% absent strong high-pressure amplification. Updated KMA guidance and next model cycles will determine whether subtle shifts in boundary-layer moisture or steering patterns push the observed high across the 30–31°C threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$3,255Ngày kết thúc
Aug 27, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and global models (ECMWF, GFS) anchor trader sentiment around a 29–31°C peak for Incheon on August 27, with 30°C leading at 36.5% implied probability. Late-August climatology features seasonal cooling from early-month heatwave conditions, with typical diurnal maxima supported by moderate insolation, light westerly winds, and limited cloud cover or precipitation. Ensemble spreads remain narrow within 48 hours of the date, concentrating probability on adjacent brackets while the 32°C+ tail stays under 5% absent strong high-pressure amplification. Updated KMA guidance and next model cycles will determine whether subtle shifts in boundary-layer moisture or steering patterns push the observed high across the 30–31°C threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$3,255Ngày kết thúc
Aug 27, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and global models (ECMWF, GFS) anchor trader sentiment around a 29–31°C peak for Incheon on August 27, with 30°C leading at 36.5% implied probability. Late-August climatology features seasonal cooling from early-month heatwave conditions, with typical diurnal maxima supported by moderate insolation, light westerly winds, and limited cloud cover or precipitation. Ensemble spreads remain narrow within 48 hours of the date, concentrating probability on adjacent brackets while the 32°C+ tail stays under 5% absent strong high-pressure amplification. Updated KMA guidance and next model cycles will determine whether subtle shifts in boundary-layer moisture or steering patterns push the observed high across the 30–31°C threshold.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp