Recent forecasts from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate overnight lows in Seoul/Incheon on August 26 near 24–26°C amid persistent late-summer warmth, elevated humidity near 80–90%, and variable cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. High pressure and weak steering winds suppress significant cooling or cold advection, while scattered showers or overcast conditions on the 25th–26th further moderate minimum temperatures. These factors align with market-implied odds favoring 25–26°C, as traders weigh model consensus on dew points and boundary-layer stability against small uncertainties in exact cloud timing or local wind shifts that could tip the low by 1°C. Historical late-August baselines near 22–23°C provide context for the current elevated readings.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 26?
26°C 39%
25°C 38%
27°C 18%
24°C 12%
21°C or below
3%
22°C
5%
23°C
9%
24°C
12%
25°C
38%
26°C
39%
27°C
18%
28°C
2%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
2%
26°C 39%
25°C 38%
27°C 18%
24°C 12%
21°C or below
3%
22°C
5%
23°C
9%
24°C
12%
25°C
38%
26°C
39%
27°C
18%
28°C
2%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate overnight lows in Seoul/Incheon on August 26 near 24–26°C amid persistent late-summer warmth, elevated humidity near 80–90%, and variable cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. High pressure and weak steering winds suppress significant cooling or cold advection, while scattered showers or overcast conditions on the 25th–26th further moderate minimum temperatures. These factors align with market-implied odds favoring 25–26°C, as traders weigh model consensus on dew points and boundary-layer stability against small uncertainties in exact cloud timing or local wind shifts that could tip the low by 1°C. Historical late-August baselines near 22–23°C provide context for the current elevated readings.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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