Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance point to a high near 74°F for Seattle on August 23, aligning with trader emphasis on the 74–75°F bin. Late-summer marine air advection from the Pacific, combined with a weak onshore pressure gradient and possible scattered showers, is limiting daytime heating below seasonal norms. Historical climatology shows late-August highs averaging 75–77°F and declining through the month, while current ensemble runs exhibit low spread around this range. No strong offshore flow or ridge is expected to push temperatures higher, keeping the market-implied distribution centered on the low-to-mid 70s.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Seattle on August 23?
Highest temperature in Seattle on August 23?
74-75°F 40%
72-73°F 28%
76-77°F 14%
70-71°F 13%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 23, 2026
65°F or below
1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
7%
70-71°F
13%
72-73°F
28%
74-75°F
40%
76-77°F
14%
78-79°F
5%
80-81°F
5%
82-83°F
5%
84°F or higher
1%
74-75°F 40%
72-73°F 28%
76-77°F 14%
70-71°F 13%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 23, 2026
65°F or below
$0 KL.
1%
66-67°F
$0 KL.
1%
68-69°F
$45 KL.
7%
70-71°F
$2 KL.
13%
72-73°F
$10 KL.
28%
74-75°F
$98 KL.
40%
76-77°F
$27 KL.
14%
78-79°F
$0 KL.
5%
80-81°F
$32 KL.
5%
82-83°F
$32 KL.
5%
84°F or higher
$45 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance point to a high near 74°F for Seattle on August 23, aligning with trader emphasis on the 74–75°F bin. Late-summer marine air advection from the Pacific, combined with a weak onshore pressure gradient and possible scattered showers, is limiting daytime heating below seasonal norms. Historical climatology shows late-August highs averaging 75–77°F and declining through the month, while current ensemble runs exhibit low spread around this range. No strong offshore flow or ridge is expected to push temperatures higher, keeping the market-implied distribution centered on the low-to-mid 70s.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Khối lượng
$291Ngày kết thúc
Aug 23, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance point to a high near 74°F for Seattle on August 23, aligning with trader emphasis on the 74–75°F bin. Late-summer marine air advection from the Pacific, combined with a weak onshore pressure gradient and possible scattered showers, is limiting daytime heating below seasonal norms. Historical climatology shows late-August highs averaging 75–77°F and declining through the month, while current ensemble runs exhibit low spread around this range. No strong offshore flow or ridge is expected to push temperatures higher, keeping the market-implied distribution centered on the low-to-mid 70s.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$291Ngày kết thúc
Aug 23, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance point to a high near 74°F for Seattle on August 23, aligning with trader emphasis on the 74–75°F bin. Late-summer marine air advection from the Pacific, combined with a weak onshore pressure gradient and possible scattered showers, is limiting daytime heating below seasonal norms. Historical climatology shows late-August highs averaging 75–77°F and declining through the month, while current ensemble runs exhibit low spread around this range. No strong offshore flow or ridge is expected to push temperatures higher, keeping the market-implied distribution centered on the low-to-mid 70s.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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