**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources point to a minimum temperature in Milan on August 24 around 20–22°C, consistent with typical late-summer conditions under stable high pressure.** Light easterly or northeasterly winds and mostly clear skies through much of the day and early night are expected to allow moderate radiative cooling after sunset, while elevated dew points near 17–19°C limit how far temperatures can drop. The near-even split in market-implied odds between 12°C or below and 22°C or higher reflects uncertainty around key variables that control overnight minima. These include the exact timing and coverage of any incoming clouds or scattered thunderstorms (noted in several models for the evening or overnight period), subtle shifts in wind speed that could enhance or suppress mixing, and the strength of the urban heat island effect in the city center. Clear, calm conditions favor lower readings closer to 18–20°C through enhanced longwave radiation loss, whereas increased cloud cover or moisture advection would keep the minimum nearer 22°C or above by trapping heat near the surface. Historical August lows in Milan average near 18°C, so the current consensus sits slightly above normal due to the warm, humid airmass in place. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range by clarifying cloud and precipitation trends that most directly influence the final minimum.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Milan on August 24?
12°C or below 86%
22°C or higher 83%
20°C 35%
21°C 35%
12°C or below
86%
13°C
34%
14°C
18%
15°C
18%
16°C
18%
17°C
19%
18°C
27%
19°C
21%
20°C
35%
21°C
35%
22°C or higher
83%
12°C or below 86%
22°C or higher 83%
20°C 35%
21°C 35%
12°C or below
86%
13°C
34%
14°C
18%
15°C
18%
16°C
18%
17°C
19%
18°C
27%
19°C
21%
20°C
35%
21°C
35%
22°C or higher
83%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources point to a minimum temperature in Milan on August 24 around 20–22°C, consistent with typical late-summer conditions under stable high pressure.** Light easterly or northeasterly winds and mostly clear skies through much of the day and early night are expected to allow moderate radiative cooling after sunset, while elevated dew points near 17–19°C limit how far temperatures can drop. The near-even split in market-implied odds between 12°C or below and 22°C or higher reflects uncertainty around key variables that control overnight minima. These include the exact timing and coverage of any incoming clouds or scattered thunderstorms (noted in several models for the evening or overnight period), subtle shifts in wind speed that could enhance or suppress mixing, and the strength of the urban heat island effect in the city center. Clear, calm conditions favor lower readings closer to 18–20°C through enhanced longwave radiation loss, whereas increased cloud cover or moisture advection would keep the minimum nearer 22°C or above by trapping heat near the surface. Historical August lows in Milan average near 18°C, so the current consensus sits slightly above normal due to the warm, humid airmass in place. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range by clarifying cloud and precipitation trends that most directly influence the final minimum.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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