Forecast models from sources like the Met Office and BBC indicate a mostly clear to partly cloudy night ahead for Milan on August 22, with light easterly or northeasterly winds supporting radiative cooling under reduced cloud cover. This setup favors minimum temperatures near 16–18°C, consistent with typical late-August climatology where urban heat retention and moderate humidity moderate overnight drops. Recent model runs show minor spread from variations in timing of any residual moisture or wind shifts, which explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 14–17°C. Traders appear to weigh the balance between efficient surface cooling and the moderating influence of the Po Valley’s thermal inertia, with new forecast updates expected to refine the exact low before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Milan on August 22?
20°C or higher 42%
17°C 32%
15°C 30%
16°C 29%
10°C or below
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
24%
13°C
21%
14°C
28%
15°C
30%
16°C
29%
17°C
32%
18°C
21%
19°C
8%
20°C or higher
42%
20°C or higher 42%
17°C 32%
15°C 30%
16°C 29%
10°C or below
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
24%
13°C
21%
14°C
28%
15°C
30%
16°C
29%
17°C
32%
18°C
21%
19°C
8%
20°C or higher
42%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 20, 2026, 1:32 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources like the Met Office and BBC indicate a mostly clear to partly cloudy night ahead for Milan on August 22, with light easterly or northeasterly winds supporting radiative cooling under reduced cloud cover. This setup favors minimum temperatures near 16–18°C, consistent with typical late-August climatology where urban heat retention and moderate humidity moderate overnight drops. Recent model runs show minor spread from variations in timing of any residual moisture or wind shifts, which explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 14–17°C. Traders appear to weigh the balance between efficient surface cooling and the moderating influence of the Po Valley’s thermal inertia, with new forecast updates expected to refine the exact low before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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