National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models project an overnight low in the upper 50s for San Francisco on August 22, 2026, consistent with long-term August climatology near 56°F at KSFO. Marine layer influence, light onshore flow, and partial cloud cover moderate radiative cooling, keeping the minimum tightly clustered around 56–59°F and producing nearly even market-implied probabilities across adjacent bins. Recent observations of 56–58°F confirm the pattern, with no anomalous ridging or thermal trough expected to shift the range. Traders weight official guidance heavily while assigning low probability to outliers requiring atypical wind shifts or rapid clearing.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in San Francisco on August 22?
Lowest temperature in San Francisco on August 22?
58-59°F 75%
54-55°F 31%
52-53°F 2.3%
49°F or below <1%
$1,604 KL.
$1,604 KL.
Aug 22, 2026
49°F or below
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
2%
54-55°F
31%
56-57°F
31%
58-59°F
50%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68°F or higher
<1%
58-59°F 75%
54-55°F 31%
52-53°F 2.3%
49°F or below <1%
$1,604 KL.
$1,604 KL.
Aug 22, 2026
49°F or below
$27 KL.
<1%
50-51°F
$27 KL.
<1%
52-53°F
$220 KL.
2%
54-55°F
$0 KL.
31%
56-57°F
$14 KL.
31%
58-59°F
$47 KL.
50%
60-61°F
$73 KL.
<1%
62-63°F
$528 KL.
<1%
64-65°F
$385 KL.
<1%
66-67°F
$152 KL.
<1%
68°F or higher
$132 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models project an overnight low in the upper 50s for San Francisco on August 22, 2026, consistent with long-term August climatology near 56°F at KSFO. Marine layer influence, light onshore flow, and partial cloud cover moderate radiative cooling, keeping the minimum tightly clustered around 56–59°F and producing nearly even market-implied probabilities across adjacent bins. Recent observations of 56–58°F confirm the pattern, with no anomalous ridging or thermal trough expected to shift the range. Traders weight official guidance heavily while assigning low probability to outliers requiring atypical wind shifts or rapid clearing.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 20, 2026, 8:30 PM ET
Khối lượng
$1,604Ngày kết thúc
Aug 22, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 20, 2026, 8:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models project an overnight low in the upper 50s for San Francisco on August 22, 2026, consistent with long-term August climatology near 56°F at KSFO. Marine layer influence, light onshore flow, and partial cloud cover moderate radiative cooling, keeping the minimum tightly clustered around 56–59°F and producing nearly even market-implied probabilities across adjacent bins. Recent observations of 56–58°F confirm the pattern, with no anomalous ridging or thermal trough expected to shift the range. Traders weight official guidance heavily while assigning low probability to outliers requiring atypical wind shifts or rapid clearing.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$1,604Ngày kết thúc
Aug 22, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 20, 2026, 8:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models project an overnight low in the upper 50s for San Francisco on August 22, 2026, consistent with long-term August climatology near 56°F at KSFO. Marine layer influence, light onshore flow, and partial cloud cover moderate radiative cooling, keeping the minimum tightly clustered around 56–59°F and producing nearly even market-implied probabilities across adjacent bins. Recent observations of 56–58°F confirm the pattern, with no anomalous ridging or thermal trough expected to shift the range. Traders weight official guidance heavily while assigning low probability to outliers requiring atypical wind shifts or rapid clearing.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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