**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 24, 2026, centers on nighttime radiative cooling under mostly clear skies and light winds, with model consensus pointing to minimums near or slightly below the long-term August average of ~22°C.** Recent forecasts from sources including timeanddate.com and BBC Weather indicate overnight lows of 23–26°C (73–79°F) for the 23–24 period, amid a brief return to seasonal norms after an early-week heat surge before a potential new warming trend. High sea-surface temperatures in the eastern Mediterranean sustain humidity and limit extreme drops, while any increase in northerly flow or clearer conditions could enhance cooling toward the 20°C threshold. Market-implied probabilities reflect this uncertainty in exact model runs and local microclimate effects, with the 20°C-or-below outcome leading due to historical variability in August minima around 21–25°C. Updated NHC/Israel Meteorological Service guidance and ensemble forecasts ahead of the 24th will likely refine these odds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 24?
20°C or below 94%
21°C 44%
30°C or higher 40%
24°C 27%
20°C or below
94%
21°C
44%
22°C
23%
23°C
25%
24°C
27%
25°C
27%
26°C
23%
27°C
11%
28°C
5%
29°C
7%
30°C or higher
40%
20°C or below 94%
21°C 44%
30°C or higher 40%
24°C 27%
20°C or below
94%
21°C
44%
22°C
23%
23°C
25%
24°C
27%
25°C
27%
26°C
23%
27°C
11%
28°C
5%
29°C
7%
30°C or higher
40%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 24, 2026, centers on nighttime radiative cooling under mostly clear skies and light winds, with model consensus pointing to minimums near or slightly below the long-term August average of ~22°C.** Recent forecasts from sources including timeanddate.com and BBC Weather indicate overnight lows of 23–26°C (73–79°F) for the 23–24 period, amid a brief return to seasonal norms after an early-week heat surge before a potential new warming trend. High sea-surface temperatures in the eastern Mediterranean sustain humidity and limit extreme drops, while any increase in northerly flow or clearer conditions could enhance cooling toward the 20°C threshold. Market-implied probabilities reflect this uncertainty in exact model runs and local microclimate effects, with the 20°C-or-below outcome leading due to historical variability in August minima around 21–25°C. Updated NHC/Israel Meteorological Service guidance and ensemble forecasts ahead of the 24th will likely refine these odds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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