Forecast models highlight substantial uncertainty for Tel Aviv's overnight low on August 22, with the spread in market-implied odds reflecting divergent runs on cloud cover, humidity levels, and Mediterranean sea breeze strength. Recent observations show typical late-summer conditions with daytime highs near 31°C, yet subtle shifts in wind patterns or moisture advection could push the minimum below 23°C or hold it above 28°C. Historical August averages for the coastal city range 24–26°C, serving as the climatological baseline traders weigh against ensemble guidance. Updated model outputs and official Israel Meteorological Service briefings in the next 12–24 hours represent the next key data points likely to influence positioning.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 22?
22°C or below 63%
32°C or higher 35.8%
27°C 28%
28°C 28%
22°C or below
63%
23°C
1%
24°C
25%
25°C
26%
26°C
26%
27°C
28%
28°C
28%
29°C
6%
30°C
5%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
36%
22°C or below 63%
32°C or higher 35.8%
27°C 28%
28°C 28%
22°C or below
63%
23°C
1%
24°C
25%
25°C
26%
26°C
26%
27°C
28%
28°C
28%
29°C
6%
30°C
5%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
36%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 20, 2026, 1:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models highlight substantial uncertainty for Tel Aviv's overnight low on August 22, with the spread in market-implied odds reflecting divergent runs on cloud cover, humidity levels, and Mediterranean sea breeze strength. Recent observations show typical late-summer conditions with daytime highs near 31°C, yet subtle shifts in wind patterns or moisture advection could push the minimum below 23°C or hold it above 28°C. Historical August averages for the coastal city range 24–26°C, serving as the climatological baseline traders weigh against ensemble guidance. Updated model outputs and official Israel Meteorological Service briefings in the next 12–24 hours represent the next key data points likely to influence positioning.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp