Official forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and supporting global models indicate a maximum of 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on August 22 under stable summer conditions with clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds, establishing the primary driver behind the market’s strong preference for 32°C and 33°C outcomes. These align closely with climatological norms for late August, when daily highs typically range 31–32°C absent synoptic shifts or heat advection. Recent model consensus shows minimal precipitation risk and limited diurnal variability, narrowing the distribution while leaving modest room for 33°C if afternoon heating exceeds guidance. Updated runs and official briefings expected overnight will provide the final observational adjustments ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 22?
32°C 57%
33°C 41%
31°C 4%
34°C 2%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
4%
32°C
57%
33°C
41%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
32°C 57%
33°C 41%
31°C 4%
34°C 2%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
4%
32°C
57%
33°C
41%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and supporting global models indicate a maximum of 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on August 22 under stable summer conditions with clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds, establishing the primary driver behind the market’s strong preference for 32°C and 33°C outcomes. These align closely with climatological norms for late August, when daily highs typically range 31–32°C absent synoptic shifts or heat advection. Recent model consensus shows minimal precipitation risk and limited diurnal variability, narrowing the distribution while leaving modest room for 33°C if afternoon heating exceeds guidance. Updated runs and official briefings expected overnight will provide the final observational adjustments ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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