Recent observations and model guidance position 32°C as the leading outcome for Karachi's peak temperature on August 23, aligning with the market's 48% implied probability. Late-August climatology shows average daily highs near 31–32°C amid the southwest monsoon, with high humidity and sea-breeze moderation limiting extremes. Recent days have recorded peaks of 32°C, and short-range forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and BBC indicate similar conditions with possible patchy rain or clouds that may cap further warming. The 31°C and 33°C outcomes trail at 26% and 20.5% respectively, reflecting typical day-to-day variability within the 30–33°C envelope. With resolution imminent, traders are weighting current model consensus and historical analogs over longer-term seasonal outlooks.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Karachi on August 23?
Highest temperature in Karachi on August 23?
32°C 45%
31°C 27%
33°C 20%
30°C 13%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 23, 2026
26°C or below
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
10%
30°C
13%
31°C
27%
32°C
45%
33°C
20%
34°C
5%
35°C
7%
36°C or higher
1%
32°C 45%
31°C 27%
33°C 20%
30°C 13%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 23, 2026
26°C or below
$191 KL.
1%
27°C
$191 KL.
1%
28°C
$35 KL.
1%
29°C
$0 KL.
10%
30°C
$21 KL.
13%
31°C
$0 KL.
27%
32°C
$243 KL.
45%
33°C
$20 KL.
20%
34°C
$0 KL.
5%
35°C
$20 KL.
7%
36°C or higher
$18 KL.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observations and model guidance position 32°C as the leading outcome for Karachi's peak temperature on August 23, aligning with the market's 48% implied probability. Late-August climatology shows average daily highs near 31–32°C amid the southwest monsoon, with high humidity and sea-breeze moderation limiting extremes. Recent days have recorded peaks of 32°C, and short-range forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and BBC indicate similar conditions with possible patchy rain or clouds that may cap further warming. The 31°C and 33°C outcomes trail at 26% and 20.5% respectively, reflecting typical day-to-day variability within the 30–33°C envelope. With resolution imminent, traders are weighting current model consensus and historical analogs over longer-term seasonal outlooks.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 21, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Khối lượng
$738Ngày kết thúc
Aug 23, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 21, 2026, 12:59 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observations and model guidance position 32°C as the leading outcome for Karachi's peak temperature on August 23, aligning with the market's 48% implied probability. Late-August climatology shows average daily highs near 31–32°C amid the southwest monsoon, with high humidity and sea-breeze moderation limiting extremes. Recent days have recorded peaks of 32°C, and short-range forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and BBC indicate similar conditions with possible patchy rain or clouds that may cap further warming. The 31°C and 33°C outcomes trail at 26% and 20.5% respectively, reflecting typical day-to-day variability within the 30–33°C envelope. With resolution imminent, traders are weighting current model consensus and historical analogs over longer-term seasonal outlooks.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$738Ngày kết thúc
Aug 23, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 21, 2026, 12:59 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent observations and model guidance position 32°C as the leading outcome for Karachi's peak temperature on August 23, aligning with the market's 48% implied probability. Late-August climatology shows average daily highs near 31–32°C amid the southwest monsoon, with high humidity and sea-breeze moderation limiting extremes. Recent days have recorded peaks of 32°C, and short-range forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and BBC indicate similar conditions with possible patchy rain or clouds that may cap further warming. The 31°C and 33°C outcomes trail at 26% and 20.5% respectively, reflecting typical day-to-day variability within the 30–33°C envelope. With resolution imminent, traders are weighting current model consensus and historical analogs over longer-term seasonal outlooks.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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