Persistent southwest monsoon activity, known as the habagat, continues to drive cloud cover, scattered showers, and high humidity across Metro Manila, limiting daytime heating and anchoring forecast maximums near 30–32°C for August 23 according to PAGASA guidance. This aligns with August climatology, where typical peaks reach 30–31°C amid 60–80% rain probabilities that suppress solar radiation. Trader sentiment distributes probability across 29–32°C outcomes because short-term model variability in monsoon strength and shower timing can shift the daily high by 1–2°C. New PAGASA updates and regional model consensus over the next 48 hours represent the key data releases that could narrow the range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Manila on August 23?
30°C 32%
31°C 19%
29°C 16%
32°C 12%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
6%
29°C
16%
30°C
32%
31°C
19%
32°C
17%
33°C
11%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
1%
30°C 32%
31°C 19%
29°C 16%
32°C 12%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
6%
29°C
16%
30°C
32%
31°C
19%
32°C
17%
33°C
11%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 21, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon activity, known as the habagat, continues to drive cloud cover, scattered showers, and high humidity across Metro Manila, limiting daytime heating and anchoring forecast maximums near 30–32°C for August 23 according to PAGASA guidance. This aligns with August climatology, where typical peaks reach 30–31°C amid 60–80% rain probabilities that suppress solar radiation. Trader sentiment distributes probability across 29–32°C outcomes because short-term model variability in monsoon strength and shower timing can shift the daily high by 1–2°C. New PAGASA updates and regional model consensus over the next 48 hours represent the key data releases that could narrow the range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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