Latest Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble forecasts position a 23–24°C maximum in Paris on August 21 as the most likely outcome, with trader consensus reflected in the 50.5% and 31.5% implied probabilities for those exact bins. A post-heatwave pattern featuring increased cloud cover, modest northerly advection, and scattered showers is limiting surface heating and boundary-layer mixing, aligning with late-August climatology of 23–25°C highs. These conditions cap upside risk unless clearer skies develop, while downside to 22°C remains plausible if precipitation arrives earlier than modeled. Market positioning accounts for inherent forecast uncertainty in cloud timing and wind patterns ahead of final observational data.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Paris on August 21?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 21?
23°C 49%
24°C 32%
25°C 10%
22°C 9%
MỚI
$25,276 KL.
MỚI
$25,276 KL.
Aug 21, 2026
20°C or below
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
9%
23°C
49%
24°C
32%
25°C
10%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
23°C 49%
24°C 32%
25°C 10%
22°C 9%
MỚI
$25,276 KL.
MỚI
$25,276 KL.
Aug 21, 2026
20°C or below
$3,961 KL.
1%
21°C
$2,056 KL.
2%
22°C
$2,019 KL.
9%
23°C
$5,320 KL.
49%
24°C
$2,669 KL.
32%
25°C
$2,345 KL.
10%
26°C
$2,729 KL.
2%
27°C
$1,011 KL.
1%
28°C
$634 KL.
<1%
29°C
$1,268 KL.
<1%
30°C or higher
$1,263 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble forecasts position a 23–24°C maximum in Paris on August 21 as the most likely outcome, with trader consensus reflected in the 50.5% and 31.5% implied probabilities for those exact bins. A post-heatwave pattern featuring increased cloud cover, modest northerly advection, and scattered showers is limiting surface heating and boundary-layer mixing, aligning with late-August climatology of 23–25°C highs. These conditions cap upside risk unless clearer skies develop, while downside to 22°C remains plausible if precipitation arrives earlier than modeled. Market positioning accounts for inherent forecast uncertainty in cloud timing and wind patterns ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 19, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Khối lượng
$25,276Ngày kết thúc
Aug 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 19, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble forecasts position a 23–24°C maximum in Paris on August 21 as the most likely outcome, with trader consensus reflected in the 50.5% and 31.5% implied probabilities for those exact bins. A post-heatwave pattern featuring increased cloud cover, modest northerly advection, and scattered showers is limiting surface heating and boundary-layer mixing, aligning with late-August climatology of 23–25°C highs. These conditions cap upside risk unless clearer skies develop, while downside to 22°C remains plausible if precipitation arrives earlier than modeled. Market positioning accounts for inherent forecast uncertainty in cloud timing and wind patterns ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$25,276Ngày kết thúc
Aug 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 19, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble forecasts position a 23–24°C maximum in Paris on August 21 as the most likely outcome, with trader consensus reflected in the 50.5% and 31.5% implied probabilities for those exact bins. A post-heatwave pattern featuring increased cloud cover, modest northerly advection, and scattered showers is limiting surface heating and boundary-layer mixing, aligning with late-August climatology of 23–25°C highs. These conditions cap upside risk unless clearer skies develop, while downside to 22°C remains plausible if precipitation arrives earlier than modeled. Market positioning accounts for inherent forecast uncertainty in cloud timing and wind patterns ahead of final observational data.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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