Recent forecasts from Météo-France and European models indicate a shift to cooler northeasterly flow over northern France ahead of August 22, positioning Paris for minimum temperatures near 11–13 °C. Partly cloudy skies and a chance of light showers are expected to limit daytime heating while allowing efficient nocturnal radiative cooling under lighter winds. This marks the coolest period of the month so far, consistent with late-August climatology where average lows decline toward 14 °C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, with only modest upside risk from clearer skies or downside from heavier rain, explaining the strong market concentration on 11–12 °C outcomes. Updated model runs through the weekend will refine the exact minimum.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Paris on August 22?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 22?
12°C 54%
11°C 32%
13°C 13%
10°C 10%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 22, 2026
9°C or below
3%
10°C
10%
11°C
23%
12°C
54%
13°C
13%
14°C
10%
15°C
5%
16°C
2%
17°C
4%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
12°C 54%
11°C 32%
13°C 13%
10°C 10%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 22, 2026
9°C or below
$0 KL.
3%
10°C
$0 KL.
10%
11°C
$12 KL.
23%
12°C
$546 KL.
54%
13°C
$0 KL.
13%
14°C
$0 KL.
10%
15°C
$276 KL.
5%
16°C
$5 KL.
2%
17°C
$5 KL.
4%
18°C
$5 KL.
<1%
19°C or higher
$0 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France and European models indicate a shift to cooler northeasterly flow over northern France ahead of August 22, positioning Paris for minimum temperatures near 11–13 °C. Partly cloudy skies and a chance of light showers are expected to limit daytime heating while allowing efficient nocturnal radiative cooling under lighter winds. This marks the coolest period of the month so far, consistent with late-August climatology where average lows decline toward 14 °C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, with only modest upside risk from clearer skies or downside from heavier rain, explaining the strong market concentration on 11–12 °C outcomes. Updated model runs through the weekend will refine the exact minimum.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Khối lượng
$848Ngày kết thúc
Aug 22, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France and European models indicate a shift to cooler northeasterly flow over northern France ahead of August 22, positioning Paris for minimum temperatures near 11–13 °C. Partly cloudy skies and a chance of light showers are expected to limit daytime heating while allowing efficient nocturnal radiative cooling under lighter winds. This marks the coolest period of the month so far, consistent with late-August climatology where average lows decline toward 14 °C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, with only modest upside risk from clearer skies or downside from heavier rain, explaining the strong market concentration on 11–12 °C outcomes. Updated model runs through the weekend will refine the exact minimum.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$848Ngày kết thúc
Aug 22, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Météo-France and European models indicate a shift to cooler northeasterly flow over northern France ahead of August 22, positioning Paris for minimum temperatures near 11–13 °C. Partly cloudy skies and a chance of light showers are expected to limit daytime heating while allowing efficient nocturnal radiative cooling under lighter winds. This marks the coolest period of the month so far, consistent with late-August climatology where average lows decline toward 14 °C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, with only modest upside risk from clearer skies or downside from heavier rain, explaining the strong market concentration on 11–12 °C outcomes. Updated model runs through the weekend will refine the exact minimum.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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