Recent forecasts from Météo-France and international models indicate a minimum temperature in Paris on August 21 centered on 14–15°C, driven by a transition to cooler northwest airflow, increased cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating while moderating overnight radiative cooling. This follows a period of relatively warmer conditions earlier in the week, with current guidance showing early-morning lows near 14°C and only modest daytime recovery to the mid-20s under partly cloudy skies. The market-implied probabilities align closely with this ensemble consensus, where small shifts in model runs or local wind patterns could favor adjacent bins such as 13°C or 16°C. Updated official briefings and morning observations on August 21 remain the key near-term catalysts for any adjustment in trader positioning.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Paris on August 21?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 21?
15°C 40%
14°C 30%
13°C 18%
12°C 9%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 21, 2026
11°C or below
2%
12°C
9%
13°C
18%
14°C
30%
15°C
40%
16°C
7%
17°C
4%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
15°C 40%
14°C 30%
13°C 18%
12°C 9%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 21, 2026
11°C or below
$84 KL.
2%
12°C
$19 KL.
9%
13°C
$310 KL.
18%
14°C
$1,901 KL.
30%
15°C
$304 KL.
40%
16°C
$37 KL.
7%
17°C
$52 KL.
4%
18°C
$738 KL.
1%
19°C
$24 KL.
<1%
20°C
$24 KL.
<1%
21°C or higher
$281 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France and international models indicate a minimum temperature in Paris on August 21 centered on 14–15°C, driven by a transition to cooler northwest airflow, increased cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating while moderating overnight radiative cooling. This follows a period of relatively warmer conditions earlier in the week, with current guidance showing early-morning lows near 14°C and only modest daytime recovery to the mid-20s under partly cloudy skies. The market-implied probabilities align closely with this ensemble consensus, where small shifts in model runs or local wind patterns could favor adjacent bins such as 13°C or 16°C. Updated official briefings and morning observations on August 21 remain the key near-term catalysts for any adjustment in trader positioning.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Khối lượng
$3,774Ngày kết thúc
Aug 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France and international models indicate a minimum temperature in Paris on August 21 centered on 14–15°C, driven by a transition to cooler northwest airflow, increased cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating while moderating overnight radiative cooling. This follows a period of relatively warmer conditions earlier in the week, with current guidance showing early-morning lows near 14°C and only modest daytime recovery to the mid-20s under partly cloudy skies. The market-implied probabilities align closely with this ensemble consensus, where small shifts in model runs or local wind patterns could favor adjacent bins such as 13°C or 16°C. Updated official briefings and morning observations on August 21 remain the key near-term catalysts for any adjustment in trader positioning.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$3,774Ngày kết thúc
Aug 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Météo-France and international models indicate a minimum temperature in Paris on August 21 centered on 14–15°C, driven by a transition to cooler northwest airflow, increased cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating while moderating overnight radiative cooling. This follows a period of relatively warmer conditions earlier in the week, with current guidance showing early-morning lows near 14°C and only modest daytime recovery to the mid-20s under partly cloudy skies. The market-implied probabilities align closely with this ensemble consensus, where small shifts in model runs or local wind patterns could favor adjacent bins such as 13°C or 16°C. Updated official briefings and morning observations on August 21 remain the key near-term catalysts for any adjustment in trader positioning.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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