Forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and regional analyses currently point to a Beijing high near 31–33°C on August 20, 2026, keeping the top three market outcomes tightly clustered as traders weigh subtle differences in predicted maximums. Key scientific drivers include the strength of the East Asian summer monsoon circulation, which modulates southerly moisture transport and potential afternoon convection, alongside surface high-pressure ridging that can suppress or enhance diurnal heating. Minor shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or urban heat-island effects from the city’s concrete expanse could tip the verified maximum by 1°C, while ensemble guidance shows low spread but sensitivity to any late timing of showers. Updated short-range runs from national meteorological agencies in the next 48 hours will likely refine these thresholds and influence further positioning around the 32°C and 33°C levels.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Beijing on August 20?
Highest temperature in Beijing on August 20?
32°C 32%
33°C 27%
31°C 20%
30°C 12%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 20, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
7%
30°C
12%
31°C
20%
32°C
32%
33°C
27%
34°C
9%
35°C
5%
36°C or higher
4%
32°C 32%
33°C 27%
31°C 20%
30°C 12%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 20, 2026
26°C or below
$286 KL.
<1%
27°C
$301 KL.
<1%
28°C
$321 KL.
<1%
29°C
$15 KL.
7%
30°C
$817 KL.
12%
31°C
$5 KL.
20%
32°C
$10 KL.
32%
33°C
$20 KL.
27%
34°C
$21 KL.
9%
35°C
$22 KL.
5%
36°C or higher
$20 KL.
4%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and regional analyses currently point to a Beijing high near 31–33°C on August 20, 2026, keeping the top three market outcomes tightly clustered as traders weigh subtle differences in predicted maximums. Key scientific drivers include the strength of the East Asian summer monsoon circulation, which modulates southerly moisture transport and potential afternoon convection, alongside surface high-pressure ridging that can suppress or enhance diurnal heating. Minor shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or urban heat-island effects from the city’s concrete expanse could tip the verified maximum by 1°C, while ensemble guidance shows low spread but sensitivity to any late timing of showers. Updated short-range runs from national meteorological agencies in the next 48 hours will likely refine these thresholds and influence further positioning around the 32°C and 33°C levels.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Khối lượng
$1,839Ngày kết thúc
Aug 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and regional analyses currently point to a Beijing high near 31–33°C on August 20, 2026, keeping the top three market outcomes tightly clustered as traders weigh subtle differences in predicted maximums. Key scientific drivers include the strength of the East Asian summer monsoon circulation, which modulates southerly moisture transport and potential afternoon convection, alongside surface high-pressure ridging that can suppress or enhance diurnal heating. Minor shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or urban heat-island effects from the city’s concrete expanse could tip the verified maximum by 1°C, while ensemble guidance shows low spread but sensitivity to any late timing of showers. Updated short-range runs from national meteorological agencies in the next 48 hours will likely refine these thresholds and influence further positioning around the 32°C and 33°C levels.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$1,839Ngày kết thúc
Aug 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and regional analyses currently point to a Beijing high near 31–33°C on August 20, 2026, keeping the top three market outcomes tightly clustered as traders weigh subtle differences in predicted maximums. Key scientific drivers include the strength of the East Asian summer monsoon circulation, which modulates southerly moisture transport and potential afternoon convection, alongside surface high-pressure ridging that can suppress or enhance diurnal heating. Minor shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or urban heat-island effects from the city’s concrete expanse could tip the verified maximum by 1°C, while ensemble guidance shows low spread but sensitivity to any late timing of showers. Updated short-range runs from national meteorological agencies in the next 48 hours will likely refine these thresholds and influence further positioning around the 32°C and 33°C levels.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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