Recent ensemble forecasts from agencies like AEMET and ECMWF indicate Madrid's peak temperature on August 20 will likely settle in the low 30s Celsius, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and light southerly flow under typical late-summer conditions. Subtle model differences in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon dew points, and any weak frontal approach create the tight spread among 30–32°C outcomes, with historical August averages near 32°C providing context. Traders weigh the latest model runs and observational trends, noting resolution hinges on official Retiro station readings amid inherent forecast uncertainty.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Madrid on August 20?
Highest temperature in Madrid on August 20?
31°C 39%
32°C 32%
30°C 15%
33°C 7%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 20, 2026
28°C or below
2%
29°C
5%
30°C
15%
31°C
39%
32°C
32%
33°C
7%
34°C
3%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
31°C 39%
32°C 32%
30°C 15%
33°C 7%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 20, 2026
28°C or below
$9 KL.
2%
29°C
$3 KL.
5%
30°C
$23 KL.
15%
31°C
$118 KL.
39%
32°C
$197 KL.
32%
33°C
$149 KL.
7%
34°C
$10 KL.
3%
35°C
$308 KL.
3%
36°C
$76 KL.
1%
37°C
$15 KL.
<1%
38°C or higher
$129 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from agencies like AEMET and ECMWF indicate Madrid's peak temperature on August 20 will likely settle in the low 30s Celsius, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and light southerly flow under typical late-summer conditions. Subtle model differences in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon dew points, and any weak frontal approach create the tight spread among 30–32°C outcomes, with historical August averages near 32°C providing context. Traders weigh the latest model runs and observational trends, noting resolution hinges on official Retiro station readings amid inherent forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Khối lượng
$1,036Ngày kết thúc
Aug 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from agencies like AEMET and ECMWF indicate Madrid's peak temperature on August 20 will likely settle in the low 30s Celsius, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and light southerly flow under typical late-summer conditions. Subtle model differences in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon dew points, and any weak frontal approach create the tight spread among 30–32°C outcomes, with historical August averages near 32°C providing context. Traders weigh the latest model runs and observational trends, noting resolution hinges on official Retiro station readings amid inherent forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$1,036Ngày kết thúc
Aug 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from agencies like AEMET and ECMWF indicate Madrid's peak temperature on August 20 will likely settle in the low 30s Celsius, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and light southerly flow under typical late-summer conditions. Subtle model differences in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon dew points, and any weak frontal approach create the tight spread among 30–32°C outcomes, with historical August averages near 32°C providing context. Traders weigh the latest model runs and observational trends, noting resolution hinges on official Retiro station readings amid inherent forecast uncertainty.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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