Current numerical weather models, including short-range forecasts from agencies like AEMET and ECMWF, position Madrid for a daytime maximum near 36°C on August 19 under mostly sunny skies with moderate northerly winds of 30–40 km/h that may limit peak heating. Recent days have featured a heat spell with observed highs of 37–38°C, consistent with late-summer continental conditions where clear skies and high pressure promote strong insolation, yet a gradual cooling trend appears underway. Trader consensus, reflected in the 36°C and 35°C outcomes holding combined implied probabilities above 59%, aligns with this forecast range while acknowledging typical model spread of 1–2°C and potential for minor revisions from updated runs.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Madrid on August 19?
Highest temperature in Madrid on August 19?
36°C 37%
35°C 24%
37°C 20%
34°C 10%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 19, 2026
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
2%
34°C
10%
35°C
24%
36°C
37%
37°C
20%
38°C
4%
39°C
1%
40°C
1%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
36°C 37%
35°C 24%
37°C 20%
34°C 10%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 19, 2026
32°C or below
$230 KL.
<1%
33°C
$183 KL.
2%
34°C
$143 KL.
10%
35°C
$316 KL.
24%
36°C
$2,223 KL.
37%
37°C
$551 KL.
20%
38°C
$148 KL.
4%
39°C
$110 KL.
1%
40°C
$15 KL.
1%
41°C
$100 KL.
<1%
42°C or higher
$114 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather models, including short-range forecasts from agencies like AEMET and ECMWF, position Madrid for a daytime maximum near 36°C on August 19 under mostly sunny skies with moderate northerly winds of 30–40 km/h that may limit peak heating. Recent days have featured a heat spell with observed highs of 37–38°C, consistent with late-summer continental conditions where clear skies and high pressure promote strong insolation, yet a gradual cooling trend appears underway. Trader consensus, reflected in the 36°C and 35°C outcomes holding combined implied probabilities above 59%, aligns with this forecast range while acknowledging typical model spread of 1–2°C and potential for minor revisions from updated runs.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Khối lượng
$4,134Ngày kết thúc
Aug 19, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather models, including short-range forecasts from agencies like AEMET and ECMWF, position Madrid for a daytime maximum near 36°C on August 19 under mostly sunny skies with moderate northerly winds of 30–40 km/h that may limit peak heating. Recent days have featured a heat spell with observed highs of 37–38°C, consistent with late-summer continental conditions where clear skies and high pressure promote strong insolation, yet a gradual cooling trend appears underway. Trader consensus, reflected in the 36°C and 35°C outcomes holding combined implied probabilities above 59%, aligns with this forecast range while acknowledging typical model spread of 1–2°C and potential for minor revisions from updated runs.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$4,134Ngày kết thúc
Aug 19, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather models, including short-range forecasts from agencies like AEMET and ECMWF, position Madrid for a daytime maximum near 36°C on August 19 under mostly sunny skies with moderate northerly winds of 30–40 km/h that may limit peak heating. Recent days have featured a heat spell with observed highs of 37–38°C, consistent with late-summer continental conditions where clear skies and high pressure promote strong insolation, yet a gradual cooling trend appears underway. Trader consensus, reflected in the 36°C and 35°C outcomes holding combined implied probabilities above 59%, aligns with this forecast range while acknowledging typical model spread of 1–2°C and potential for minor revisions from updated runs.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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