Official Met Office guidance currently projects a London daytime maximum of 28°C on August 17 under partly cloudy conditions with a risk of light afternoon showers, following the recent heat spike that produced peaks near 34–38°C earlier in the week. This places the highest probability on 26–27°C outcomes as traders weigh reduced solar insolation from increased cloud cover, a shift toward more westerly flow advecting milder air, and potential boundary-layer mixing against lingering warm advection. Model consensus shows modest spread around these values, with any delays in shower development or clearer spells able to push readings toward 28°C while earlier or heavier cloud would favor 25°C. Historical August maxima near 22°C provide context, but current high-pressure influence keeps readings above average. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings tomorrow morning represent the next key data points for refining exact peak temperatures at official stations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in London on August 17?
Highest temperature in London on August 17?
26°C 36%
27°C 32%
25°C 17%
28°C 12%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 17, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
17%
26°C
36%
27°C
32%
28°C
12%
29°C
3%
30°C or higher
<1%
26°C 36%
27°C 32%
25°C 17%
28°C 12%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 17, 2026
20°C or below
$38 KL.
<1%
21°C
$38 KL.
<1%
22°C
$43 KL.
<1%
23°C
$655 KL.
1%
24°C
$241 KL.
4%
25°C
$1,055 KL.
17%
26°C
$692 KL.
36%
27°C
$1,464 KL.
32%
28°C
$450 KL.
12%
29°C
$152 KL.
3%
30°C or higher
$93 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Met Office guidance currently projects a London daytime maximum of 28°C on August 17 under partly cloudy conditions with a risk of light afternoon showers, following the recent heat spike that produced peaks near 34–38°C earlier in the week. This places the highest probability on 26–27°C outcomes as traders weigh reduced solar insolation from increased cloud cover, a shift toward more westerly flow advecting milder air, and potential boundary-layer mixing against lingering warm advection. Model consensus shows modest spread around these values, with any delays in shower development or clearer spells able to push readings toward 28°C while earlier or heavier cloud would favor 25°C. Historical August maxima near 22°C provide context, but current high-pressure influence keeps readings above average. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings tomorrow morning represent the next key data points for refining exact peak temperatures at official stations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 15, 2026, 4:04 PM ET
Khối lượng
$4,920Ngày kết thúc
Aug 17, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 15, 2026, 4:04 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Met Office guidance currently projects a London daytime maximum of 28°C on August 17 under partly cloudy conditions with a risk of light afternoon showers, following the recent heat spike that produced peaks near 34–38°C earlier in the week. This places the highest probability on 26–27°C outcomes as traders weigh reduced solar insolation from increased cloud cover, a shift toward more westerly flow advecting milder air, and potential boundary-layer mixing against lingering warm advection. Model consensus shows modest spread around these values, with any delays in shower development or clearer spells able to push readings toward 28°C while earlier or heavier cloud would favor 25°C. Historical August maxima near 22°C provide context, but current high-pressure influence keeps readings above average. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings tomorrow morning represent the next key data points for refining exact peak temperatures at official stations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$4,920Ngày kết thúc
Aug 17, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 15, 2026, 4:04 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Met Office guidance currently projects a London daytime maximum of 28°C on August 17 under partly cloudy conditions with a risk of light afternoon showers, following the recent heat spike that produced peaks near 34–38°C earlier in the week. This places the highest probability on 26–27°C outcomes as traders weigh reduced solar insolation from increased cloud cover, a shift toward more westerly flow advecting milder air, and potential boundary-layer mixing against lingering warm advection. Model consensus shows modest spread around these values, with any delays in shower development or clearer spells able to push readings toward 28°C while earlier or heavier cloud would favor 25°C. Historical August maxima near 22°C provide context, but current high-pressure influence keeps readings above average. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings tomorrow morning represent the next key data points for refining exact peak temperatures at official stations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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