**Trader sentiment for Taipei's August 19 high temperature centers on official Central Weather Administration (CWA) guidance showing a 27–35°C range under partly cloudy skies with afternoon showers or thunderstorms.** This aligns with the market's tight clustering around 32–34°C, where 33°C leads at 37.5% implied probability. Subtropical summer conditions—high humidity, urban heat island effects, and southwesterly flow—drive peak readings in the early afternoon, but scattered convection introduces uncertainty in cloud cover and timing that can shave 1–2°C off maxima. Recent heat alerts and observed peaks near 36°C underscore the potential for 34°C or higher if insolation increases, while ensemble model spreads (GFS/ECMWF) support the balanced probabilities. CWA daily updates and refined short-range forecasts will likely refine the outcome before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Taipei on August 19?
33°C 39%
32°C 29%
34°C 19%
31°C 9%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
9%
32°C
29%
33°C
39%
34°C
19%
35°C
7%
36°C or higher
2%
33°C 39%
32°C 29%
34°C 19%
31°C 9%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
9%
32°C
29%
33°C
39%
34°C
19%
35°C
7%
36°C or higher
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Taipei's August 19 high temperature centers on official Central Weather Administration (CWA) guidance showing a 27–35°C range under partly cloudy skies with afternoon showers or thunderstorms.** This aligns with the market's tight clustering around 32–34°C, where 33°C leads at 37.5% implied probability. Subtropical summer conditions—high humidity, urban heat island effects, and southwesterly flow—drive peak readings in the early afternoon, but scattered convection introduces uncertainty in cloud cover and timing that can shave 1–2°C off maxima. Recent heat alerts and observed peaks near 36°C underscore the potential for 34°C or higher if insolation increases, while ensemble model spreads (GFS/ECMWF) support the balanced probabilities. CWA daily updates and refined short-range forecasts will likely refine the outcome before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật

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