Recent forecasts from models and agencies like the South African Weather Service indicate Cape Town highs stabilizing near 17–19°C on August 19 amid typical winter conditions in its Mediterranean climate. A broad Atlantic high and weak upper trough support mild temperatures with limited diurnal warming due to increased cloud cover and moderate onshore flow, keeping peaks below seasonal extremes. Historical August averages hover around 17–18°C, with rare excursions above 20°C tied to stronger ridging. No major cold-front passages are expected in the next 48 hours to depress readings further, while ensemble guidance shows minimal spread. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 18°C as the consensus outcome, with fresh model runs from global centers likely to refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Cape Town on August 19?
18°C 39%
19°C 27%
17°C 22%
20°C 8%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
5%
17°C
22%
18°C
39%
19°C
27%
20°C
8%
21°C
4%
22°C
2%
23°C or higher
<1%
18°C 39%
19°C 27%
17°C 22%
20°C 8%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
5%
17°C
22%
18°C
39%
19°C
27%
20°C
8%
21°C
4%
22°C
2%
23°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models and agencies like the South African Weather Service indicate Cape Town highs stabilizing near 17–19°C on August 19 amid typical winter conditions in its Mediterranean climate. A broad Atlantic high and weak upper trough support mild temperatures with limited diurnal warming due to increased cloud cover and moderate onshore flow, keeping peaks below seasonal extremes. Historical August averages hover around 17–18°C, with rare excursions above 20°C tied to stronger ridging. No major cold-front passages are expected in the next 48 hours to depress readings further, while ensemble guidance shows minimal spread. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 18°C as the consensus outcome, with fresh model runs from global centers likely to refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật

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